Daily Protests Foretell Impending Regime Collapse
Posted on February 19th, 2016

 Dilrook Kannangara

Large protests have become an almost daily occurrence. Various cross sections of the society are affected by the incompetence of the government. Every step the government takes, it trespasses on people’s rights. Things will get even worse when IMF lays down tough conditions for the intended loan facility. Already $2 billion have been syphoned out of the country within a period of months with very serious effects on the balance of payment, economic growth and loan repayment. Promised Belgian money launderer failed to appear. UNP’s economic disaster is inexcusable at a time when petroleum is selling at a record low saving billions in the import bill.
Sensing the impending end, ministers are very busy ‘saving’ for a rainy day. Allegations of corruption keep rising and their value increasing. Ministers and MPs need at least 100 million rupees each to run a successful election campaign. As none has such a lot of money of their own, it must come from state coffers.
Disruptions to Chinese projects cost dearly in penalties, rework and cost overruns. These are yet to be felt. Slowing of the global economy will also impact export earnings and foreign direct investments. If ETCA is signed, hundreds of thousands will lose their livelihood. If it is not signed, India, as the biggest financier of the 2013-2015 regime change operation will turn against the regime. If war crimes investigations are done by foreigners, locals will escalate political tensions making the government unpopular. If not done, the international backers of this government will pull the plug.
Faced with these insurmountable problems, the regime has scaled back its ambitious constitution amendments. Clamping down on opposition members has worsened. Elections have been postponed indefinitely. Shadows of 2004 are now cast upon this UNP government. The President, in order to save himself and the political future of the Kumaratunga clan, will not hesitate to change the Prime Minister or even dissolve the parliament if things go too bad. His only comfort is that the Joint Opposition is highly disorganised, without a plan and has been unable to sell a bold action plan.

7 Responses to “Daily Protests Foretell Impending Regime Collapse”

  1. Ancient Sinhalaya Says:

    Maru sira can’t get rid of pol pot. He is like a baby in front of pathala man PM. It will most probably be the
    other way around. Pathala man will get rid of maru sira.

    Maru sira is clueless. He has already toured so many countries.
    His dream is to travel to as many countries. Who cares about the country. He is not going to contest again.
    So the pina is having the time of his life. Even the grade 8 pass is enough if you have enough traitors in a country to
    have a jolly good time!

  2. aloy Says:

    I think RW has not learnt a lesson from 2004 happenings. It appears he continues to go on solo. He doesn’t like the advice of locals and believe in foreigners without knowing that they have their own agendas. During his previous stint he abolished an organisation with over 200 engineers and about 4000 SL workers on the advice of World Bank and these people were jobless for a very long time. Instead of building them to be viable organizations destroying them is a crime.
    I hope he doesn’t do that kind of high handed things this time around. If he does the last para in Dilrook’s write up may be applicable. He shouldn’t be too much obliged to any party or country, for his own safety.

  3. nilwala Says:

    Dilrrok has stated the situation succinctly:
    “Faced with these insurmountable problems, the regime has scaled back its ambitious constitution amendments. Clamping down on opposition members has worsened. Elections have been postponed indefinitely. Shadows of 2004 are now cast upon this UNP government. The President, in order to save himself and the political future of the Kumaratunga clan, will not hesitate to change the Prime Minister or even dissolve the parliament if things go too bad. His only comfort is that the Joint Opposition is highly disorganised, without a plan and has been unable to sell a bold action plan.”

    WE FULLY AGREE!!
    THE JOINT OPPOSITION AND ITS LACK OF COURAGE TO MAKE THE NEEDED DECISIONS IS DRIVING THIS COUNTRY TO THE POINT OF ANOTHER REVOLUTION…ONE ONLY HOPES AND PRAYS THAT IT WILL BE BLOODLESS….
    THE TENSION SEEMS TO HAVE DRIVEN ONE POLITICAL LEADER QUITE MAD ALREADY….AND A VERY VOCAL MOUTHPIECE HAS HAD A HEART ATTACK….OR SO THEY SAY.

  4. Dilrook Says:

    That is correct Nilwala about the joint opposition. For instance it is professionals who lead the opposition against ETCA, whereas it should have been done by the joint opposition. As the PA gave leadership to most people’s campaigns since 1992, the joint opposition must lead all people’s movements or be pushed aside to irrelevance. At election time, people will remember who stood by them in difficult times.

    Revolutions must be avoided at all cost. The democratic process is sufficient if the joint opposition takes up people’s grievances. SLFP’s inability to do so in 1977-1989 and UNP’s inability to do so in 1960-1971 resulted in needless violence.

  5. Dham Says:

    Dilrook,
    Actually only politicians effectively engaged in the push against ETCA are JVPeers.
    Although accused as Green Elephants, they oppose the government in most of their undesirable moves.

  6. Fran Diaz Says:

    The trouble is that if the Jnt Oppn takes up the ETCA matter, then the Yahap govt will pounce even harder on the Rajapaske Family ! MR & Family have to take the flack, every time the Jnt Opp. protests – we can see the pattern quite clearly ! It is silly beyond words – the Yahap seems to me to be acting like a foreign occupying govt !!

    The ECTA will probably bring a million jobs (Ranil’s promise) to INDIANS, not to Lankans. INDIANS bargain hard and get their way too.

    May be what ought to be done first by the Jnt Oppn is to placate agitated INDIA. Since it is INDIA that always causes the major problems for Lanka, (training LTTE in Tamil Nadu, imposing the 13-A, and now the ECTA) the Jnt Oppn will have to re-assure INDIA first on SECURITY ISSUES OF INDIA. This may be done through Lanka signing up an MoU with INDIA/UN re INDIA’S SECURITY NEEDS WITH LANKA.

    Recall China took over Tibet, for same reasons. Countries bordering India & China run the risk of take over, unless smart action is taken by their govts. for protection of the major country.

  7. Lorenzo Says:

    Dham is right. JVP IS fighting against Endian invasion along with GMOA.

    That means JVP seats will INCREASE at the next election at the expense of the OUR SRI LANKA FREEDOM FRONT (the new party) which is not taking ANY stand on ANYTHING.

Leave a Reply

You must be logged in to post a comment.

 

 


Copyright © 2018 LankaWeb.com. All Rights Reserved. Powered by Wordpress