Posted on July 2nd, 2012

ByƒÆ’-¡ƒ”š‚  Gomin DayasriƒÆ’-¡ƒ”š‚ ƒÆ’-¡ƒ”š‚ 

The staggered premature provincial council elections are to test the pulse of the people with a purpose-not necessarily to present the people with another democratic opportunity to exercise their franchise. More for the government to inspect the ground conditions to obtain a pitch report – to decide whether to bat or bowl. Yes, in non-sporting language, with politics being a far cry from any respectable sport – whether to hold Presidential elections, sooner or later? The result is predictable-Presidential Election is in the fast lane, either way.

ƒÆ’-¡ƒ”š‚ Staggered in a manner to suit the captain calling the shots- selected areas are the happy hunting grounds for the government. Perception is to set a winning trend that can trigger on the momentum for a tidal wave to develop to engulf the entire island. Winner takes all. ThatƒÆ’‚¢ƒ¢-¡‚¬ƒ¢-¾‚¢s stage-managing public opinion to make the proposed election a manipulative maneuver: legitimate but unethical. Ethics is far removed in politics, where predators continue to prey.

ƒÆ’-¡ƒ”š‚ Symptomatically a Presidential Election is around the corner. The staggered elections are a forerunner to coming events. A presidential term is six years but could be reduced to four from the time of the last election: the discretion being with the holder of office. Naturally it will be exercised at the most opportune moment for the incumbent. ƒÆ’‚¢ƒ¢-¡‚¬ƒ¢¢”š¬…”J.R.Jayewardane deemed it in the Constitution seeking a comfortable extension in a two term: Mahinda Rajapakse exploited by extending it indefinitely. Before the President prunes two years of his term, as he did previously- wants to test the water before taking the plunge. Four year mandatory wait is nearing completition. Confidence is high on winning but confidence can be misplaced.

ƒÆ’-¡ƒ”š‚ A stage managed election with the coloration of being free and fair is difficult for the Opposition to win unless public acclaim for the leadership is overwhelming-as it did for Chandrika Kumaranatunga, winning the Southern Provincial Council during the Wijetunga era and set an unique trend. With Ranil Wickremasinghe, always ahead of the Opposition Pack, by a whisker in a photo finish, it is unlikely. If the opposition can greatly narrow the majorities, the government is in for a major jolt and is nearly as good as winning: for a trend will set. This is a trap that the government may get locked in. This election is all about Majorities – both for the government and opposition – in a coming presidential or general election.

ƒÆ’-¡ƒ”š‚ Forthcoming elections will not offer the government easy sailing in fair winds unlike in 2009 in the backdrop of a military triumph. Gratitude has been overtaken by charges of corruption, waste, mismanagement, inefficiency and maladministration. These deficiencies came to the forefront under every administration from the time J.R.Jayewardane ushered the1978 constitution but has become more pronounced in the present government- being indifferent and insensitive towards their extermination. It has impacted the public to the extent that any ƒÆ’‚¢ƒ¢-¡‚¬ƒ”¹…”wild storyƒÆ’‚¢ƒ¢-¡‚¬ƒ¢-¾‚¢, true or false, is believed as ƒÆ’‚¢ƒ¢-¡‚¬ƒ”¹…”possibleƒÆ’‚¢ƒ¢-¡‚¬ƒ¢-¾‚¢ in the public mind, as it is always more ƒÆ’‚¢ƒ¢-¡‚¬ƒ”¹…”probableƒÆ’‚¢ƒ¢-¡‚¬ƒ¢-¾‚¢, placing the official version in the ƒÆ’‚¢ƒ¢-¡‚¬ƒ”¹…”unreliableƒÆ’‚¢ƒ¢-¡‚¬ƒ¢-¾‚¢ column, preferring to believe even the ƒÆ’‚¢ƒ¢-¡‚¬ƒ”¹…”absurdƒÆ’‚¢ƒ¢-¡‚¬ƒ¢-¾‚¢! The GovernmentƒÆ’‚¢ƒ¢-¡‚¬ƒ¢-¾‚¢s credibility is at the point of its lowest common denominator because of the shoddiness of its media manipulators. GovernmentƒÆ’‚¢ƒ¢-¡‚¬ƒ¢-¾‚¢s grip on State and Private Media is a major swing factor in any election in its favor: overdone makes it unpalatable, in being ƒÆ’‚¢ƒ¢-¡‚¬ƒ”¹…”over-cookedƒÆ’‚¢ƒ¢-¡‚¬ƒ¢-¾‚¢.

ƒÆ’-¡ƒ”š‚ The continuing drought is a plus or minus in the agricultural districts where elections are held ƒÆ’‚¢ƒ¢-¡‚¬ƒ¢¢”š¬…”food prices soar and incomes dip followed with galloping inflation. The distribution of provisions as drought relief to voters legitimizes the concept of ƒÆ’‚¢ƒ¢-¡‚¬ƒ”¹…”treatingƒÆ’‚¢ƒ¢-¡‚¬ƒ¢-¾‚¢- a forbidden word during election time to win votes. Government faces more hazards at the forthcoming election from the weather than from a joint Opposition front.

ƒÆ’-¡ƒ”š‚ An opposition thrives on elections but not the local chapter because of the lack of confidence in their ability to win. ƒÆ’-¡ƒ”š‚ By crying foul they are indirectly conceding defeat. If in a winnable situation, when elections are called, they should carry welcome posters. After 19 years in the wilderness they have not been able to churn out a winning combination. Ranil Wickremasinghe has aged gracefully without changing his character or outlook and the other side contenders Sajith Premadasa and Karu Jayasuriya show keenness to tag lamely behind a GeneralƒÆ’‚¢ƒ¢-¡‚¬ƒ¢-¾‚¢s uniform for the want of leadership material without asserting their party name. In the UNP, the emerging stars through media outlets are their two appointed MPs Harsha de Silva and Eran Wickremanayake with their consistent intelligent flow of comment but its reach is not beyond the rump in the stock market: their perennially faithful vote. UNP has failed to penetrate the enemy territory: as did J.R.Jayewardana and Mahinda Rajapakse to target the enemy from vantage positions.

ƒÆ’-¡ƒ”š‚  The drift vote away from the Government has not rallied around the UNP due to its woeful performance and is moving to an abstention column in the ballot paper with a ƒÆ’‚¢ƒ¢-¡‚¬ƒ”¹…”do-nothingƒÆ’‚¢ƒ¢-¡‚¬ƒ¢-¾‚¢ government. It is only the Ministry of Defense and Urban Development that has shown results. Abstention is still favorable to the government since constituents like to cast their ballot and the spoilers are a few. Normally it swings to the opposition, to streak across the winners tape. Make out a national cause, absentees will flow back to the government instead of the opposition that sponsor tactlessly endless anti-national causes. Opposition is interested only in winning its traditional vote instead of winning an election by attracting fresh voters.

ƒÆ’-¡ƒ”š‚ This is an election for the for the benefit of the politicians held in the name of the people.


  1. AnuD Says:

    What ever it is, it gives an opportunity for a batch of new thugs and criminals to engage in politics as well as every politician in the newly elected councils will get a new luxury car permit which they sell to the broker with the highest bid and recover again what they lost fighting the election.

    People will vote, after that some may stay in the hospital or may die in the name of politics. That is their life. Finally, voters will lose and they also will be blamed for electing criminals.

    I think the govt has a good excuse to win the NCP – elections as there is a drought there. Govt will throw money at the farmers saying support to the affected farmers. EP -council will be for Hakeem, I suppose. Only the third council need to be won.

  2. nandimitra Says:

    All these are weaknesses in the constitution. A constitution must reflect the interests and aspirations of the citizens. This constitution reflects the aspirations and interests of the incumbent. Essentialy the constitution has been highjacked from the people to subjugate the citizens and take away their rights.

  3. AnuD Says:

    Govt is testing the popularity.

  4. Dham Says:

    SriLanka is the “Country of Elections”.

    This “Elections” decease was given by the Sudda. This decease will ultimately get rid of the Sinhalaya.
    As AnuD said “it gives an opportunity for a batch of new thugs and criminals to engage in politics “.

  5. Fran Diaz Says:


    Who wrote the Sri Lanka Constitution ?

  6. Marco Says:

    A brilliant analysis given by Kumar David

    Sri Lanka: A Game Plan Is Emerging – Analysis

    A couple of home truths that we don’t want to hear?

  7. Lorenzo Says:

    Kumar David is a LTTE proxy who always PREDICT rubbish that NEVER happens (unless to his clan)!!

  8. nandimitra Says:

    Fran Dias,
    JR wrote the constitution the others amended it to suit themselves. No one has cared for the rights of the people.

  9. Fran Diaz Says:


    Thanks for your response. I have heard that Mr Siva Pasupathi (Attorney General under JRJ govt.), wrote the Sri Lanka Constitution. However, I have not been able to verify this. Here is a write up on Mr Siva Pasupathi.

    Democracy needs constant vigilance fro the People. In USA, there are several tv sites, blog sites, organisations, Activists, even comedians who are dedicated to the task of safeguarding Democracy in that country.

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