{"id":104836,"date":"2020-07-24T16:32:33","date_gmt":"2020-07-24T23:32:33","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/?p=104836"},"modified":"2020-07-24T16:32:33","modified_gmt":"2020-07-24T23:32:33","slug":"general-election-of-sri-lanka-forecast-for-august-2020-slpp-to-secure-2-3-majority","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/2020\/07\/24\/general-election-of-sri-lanka-forecast-for-august-2020-slpp-to-secure-2-3-majority\/","title":{"rendered":"GENERAL ELECTION OF SRI LANKA \u2013 FORECAST FOR AUGUST 2020-SLPP TO SECURE 2\/3 MAJORITY"},"content":{"rendered":"

By M D P DISSANAYAKE<\/strong><\/em><\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n

The election to be held\non 5 August 2020 on all counts appear to be a lack lustre event.  The Sri\nLankans are generally used to massive media campaigns, bill boards, cut-outs\nand public rallies accommodating hundreds of thousands of supporters.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

These campaigns have\nenergised the political parties and its leaders whilst providing much needed\neuphoria as a solid return on investment on cost of media blitz.  These\npropaganda activities also provided stiff competition, encouraging larger voter\nturnout on the election day.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The covid 19 has\nvirtually killed the Sri Lankan style of electioneering.  To make matters\nworse, the oldest political party, the United National Party is split, making\ntraditional UNPers to look for Elephant symbol after a long time wanting to\nvote for the UNP, but likely to cross UNP as the preferred party, but painfully\nlooking for Sajith Premadasa\u2019s  candidates with the Telephone and vice\nversa.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

With a low turnout expected\nas a result of above factors, this election most likely to record a high percentage\nof rejected votes, as a consequence of Elephant and Telephone.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The following popular\npolitical personalities are unlikely to win a seat at the election: Rev\nAthureliya Rathana,  Sujeewa Senasinghe, Ravi Karunanayke, Patali Champaka\nRanawaka. Hirunika Premachandra, Anura Kumara Dissanayake, Duminda Dissanayake,\nWeerakumara Dissanayake, Ranjan Ramanayake, Arjuna Ranatunga, Vijitha Herath,\n Chandima Weerakkody,  Palitha Ranga Bandara, Kumara Welgama, Sarath\nFonseka, Rajitha Senaratne, Chathura Senaratne, Ajith P Perera, Palitha\nThewarapperuma, Dayasiri Jayasekera, P Harrison,<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The following forecast\nwas prepared taking into account above limiting factors, with a margin of error\nof +\/- 3%.   The  newly formed SLPP is likely to secure a tight\n2\/3 majority.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
<\/td>\n SLPP<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n UNP\/SJB<\/strong>\n <\/td> TNA<\/em><\/strong> <\/em> <\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n CENTRAL PROVINCE:<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n KANDY\n <\/td>\n 8\n <\/td>\n 4\n <\/td><\/td>\n  \n <\/td><\/tr>
\n MATALE \n <\/td>\n 3\n <\/td>\n 2\n <\/td><\/td>\n  \n <\/td><\/tr>
\n NUWARAELIYA\n <\/td>\n 5\n <\/td>\n 3\n <\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n EASTERN PROV.<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n BATTICALOA\n <\/td>\n    1\n <\/td><\/td>\n 4\n <\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n DIGAMADULLA\n <\/td>\n 4\n <\/td>\n 2\n <\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n TRINCOMALEE\n <\/td>\n 2\n <\/td>\n         \n 1\n <\/td>\n 1\n <\/td><\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n NORTHERN PROV.<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n JAFFNA\n <\/td>\n 1\n <\/td>\n    \n     1\n <\/td>\n 5\n <\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n WANNI\n <\/td>\n 2\n <\/td>\n                             \n \n <\/td>\n 4\n <\/td><\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n SOUTHERN PROV<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n GALLE\n <\/td>\n 9         \n <\/td>\n    \n     1\n <\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n MATARA                                                   \n \n <\/td>\n 7\n <\/td>\n  \n       1\n <\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n HAMBANTHOTA            \n \n <\/td>\n 6         \n <\/td>\n  \n       1\n <\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n WESTERN PROV.<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n COLOMBO                                                         \n \n <\/td>\n  13\n <\/td>\n       \n 6\n <\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n GAMPAHA        \n \n <\/td>\n 15           \n \n <\/td>\n       \n 3\n <\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n KALUTARA\n <\/td>\n 8       \n <\/td>\n       2\n <\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n NTH WEST. PROV<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n KURUNEGALA\n <\/td>\n 13      \n <\/td>\n       2\n <\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n PUTTALAM    \n \n <\/td>\n 5\n <\/td>\n       3\n <\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n NTH CENTRAL PROV<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n ANURADHAPURA\n <\/td>\n 8       \n <\/td>\n      1\n <\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n POLONNARUWA\n <\/td>\n 4\n <\/td>\n      1\n <\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n UVA PROV.<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n BADULLA                                                \n \n <\/td>\n 6       \n <\/td>\n     3\n <\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n MONERAGALA\n <\/td>\n 4\n <\/td>\n     1\n <\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n SABARAGAMUWA<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n RATNAPURA\n <\/td>\n 10      \n <\/td>\n    1\n <\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n KEGALLE\n <\/td>\n 8       \n <\/td>\n    1\n <\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n TOTAL TO BE\n ELECTED<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 142  \n <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 40      \n 14<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 196<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n NATIONAL\n LIST                   \n           <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 21<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 6          \n 2<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n   29<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n GRAND TOTAL<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 163<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 46      \n 16<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 225<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n

 \nPERCENTAGE SEATS\n%             \n     72%    \n20%        8% <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The\nSajith Premadasa camp may secure 28 seats as against Ranil to settle down for\n18 seats.<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

By M D P DISSANAYAKE The election to be held on 5 August 2020 on all counts appear to be a lack lustre event.  The Sri Lankans are generally used to massive media campaigns, bill boards, cut-outs and public rallies accommodating hundreds of thousands of supporters.  These campaigns have energised the political parties and its […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":true,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-104836","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-politics"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/104836","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=104836"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/104836\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=104836"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=104836"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=104836"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}