{"id":105065,"date":"2020-07-30T15:53:12","date_gmt":"2020-07-30T22:53:12","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/?p=105065"},"modified":"2020-07-30T15:53:12","modified_gmt":"2020-07-30T22:53:12","slug":"general-election-of-sri-lanka-forecast-for-august-2020-slpp-to-secure-2-3-majority-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/2020\/07\/30\/general-election-of-sri-lanka-forecast-for-august-2020-slpp-to-secure-2-3-majority-2\/","title":{"rendered":"GENERAL ELECTION OF SRI LANKA \u2013 FORECAST FOR AUGUST 2020-SLPP TO SECURE 2\/3 MAJORITY"},"content":{"rendered":"

By M D P DISSANAYAKE<\/em><\/strong><\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n

The election to be held on 5\nAugust 2020 on all counts appear to be a lack lustre event.  The Sri\nLankans are generally used to massive media campaigns, bill boards, cut-outs\nand public rallies accommodating hundreds of thousands of supporters. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

These campaigns have energised\nthe political parties and its leaders whilst providing much needed euphoria as\na solid return on investment on cost of media blitz.  These propaganda\nactivities also provided stiff competition, encouraging larger voter turnout on\nthe election day.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The covid 19 has virtually\nkilled the Sri Lankan style of electioneering.  To make matters worse, the\noldest political party, the United National Party is split, making traditional\nUNPers to look for Elephant symbol after a long time\nwanting to vote for the UNP, but likely to cross UNP as the preferred party,\nbut painfully looking for Sajith Premadasa\u2019s  candidates with the\nTelephone and vice versa.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

With a low turnout expected as\na result of above factors, this election most likely to record a high percentage\nof rejected votes, as a consequence of Elephant and Telephone.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The following popular political\npersonalities are unlikely to win a seat at the election: Rev Athureliya\nRathana,  Sujeewa Senasinghe, Ravi Karunanayke, Patali Champaka Ranawaka.\nHirunika Premachandra, Anura Kumara Dissanayake, Duminda Dissanayake, Weerakumara\nDissanayake, Ranjan Ramanayake, Arjuna Ranatunga, Vijitha Herath,\n Chandima Weerakkody,  Palitha Ranga Bandara, Kumara Welgama, Sarath\nFonseka, Rajitha Senaratne, Chathura Senaratne, Ajith P Perera, Palitha\nThewarapperuma, Dayasiri Jayasekera, P Harrison,<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The following forecast was\nprepared taking into account above limiting factors, with a margin of error of\n+\/- 3%.   The  newly formed SLPP is likely to secure a tight 2\/3\nmajority.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
<\/td>\n SLPP<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n UNP\/SJB<\/strong>\n <\/td> TNA<\/strong><\/em> <\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n CENTRAL\n PROVINCE:<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n KANDY\n <\/td>\n 8\n <\/td>\n 4\n <\/td><\/td>\n  \n <\/td><\/tr>
\n MATALE\n <\/td>\n 3\n <\/td>\n 2\n <\/td><\/td>\n  \n <\/td><\/tr>
\n NUWARAELIYA\n <\/td>\n 5\n <\/td>\n 3\n <\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n EASTERN\n PROV.<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n BATTICALOA\n <\/td>\n    1\n <\/td><\/td>\n 4\n <\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n DIGAMADULLA\n <\/td>\n 4\n <\/td>\n 2\n <\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n TRINCOMALEE\n <\/td>\n 2\n <\/td>\n          1\n <\/td>\n 1\n <\/td><\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n NORTHERN\n PROV.<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n JAFFNA\n <\/td>\n 1\n <\/td>\n         1\n <\/td>\n 5\n <\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n WANNI\n <\/td>\n 2\n <\/td>\n                             \n <\/td>\n 4\n <\/td><\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n SOUTHERN\n PROV<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n GALLE\n <\/td>\n 9        \n <\/td>\n         1\n <\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n MATARA                                                   \n <\/td>\n 7\n <\/td>\n         1\n <\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n HAMBANTHOTA            \n <\/td>\n 6        \n <\/td>\n         1\n <\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n WESTERN\n PROV.<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n COLOMBO                                                         \n <\/td>\n  13\n <\/td>\n        6\n <\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n GAMPAHA        \n <\/td>\n 15           \n <\/td>\n        3\n <\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n KALUTARA\n <\/td>\n 8      \n <\/td>\n       2\n <\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n NTH\n WEST. PROV<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n KURUNEGALA\n <\/td>\n 13     \n <\/td>\n       2\n <\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n PUTTALAM    \n <\/td>\n 5\n <\/td>\n       3\n <\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n NTH\n CENTRAL PROV<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n ANURADHAPURA\n <\/td>\n 8      \n <\/td>\n      1\n <\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n POLONNARUWA\n <\/td>\n 4\n <\/td>\n      1\n <\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n UVA\n PROV.<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n BADULLA                                                \n <\/td>\n 6      \n <\/td>\n     3\n <\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n MONERAGALA\n <\/td>\n 4\n <\/td>\n     1\n <\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n SABARAGAMUWA<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n RATNAPURA\n <\/td>\n 10     \n <\/td>\n    1\n <\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n KEGALLE\n <\/td>\n 8      \n <\/td>\n    1\n <\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n TOTAL\n TO BE ELECTED<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 142  <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 40      \n 14<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 196<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n NATIONAL\n LIST                   \n           <\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 21<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 6          \n 2<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n  \n 29<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/td><\/tr>
\n GRAND\n TOTAL<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 163<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 46      \n 16<\/strong>\n <\/td>\n 225<\/strong>\n <\/td><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n

  PERCENTAGE SEATS\n%             \n     72%    \n20%        8%<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Sajith Premadasa camp may secure 28 seats as against\nRanil to settle down for 18 seats.<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

By M D P DISSANAYAKE The election to be held on 5 August 2020 on all counts appear to be a lack lustre event.  The Sri Lankans are generally used to massive media campaigns, bill boards, cut-outs and public rallies accommodating hundreds of thousands of supporters.  These campaigns have energised the political parties and its […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":true,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[63],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-105065","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-dr-m-d-p-dissanayake"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/105065","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=105065"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/105065\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=105065"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=105065"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=105065"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}