{"id":105332,"date":"2020-08-07T14:48:25","date_gmt":"2020-08-07T21:48:25","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/?p=105332"},"modified":"2020-08-07T14:48:25","modified_gmt":"2020-08-07T21:48:25","slug":"final-prediction-on-election-2020-landslide-victory-for-the-slpp-and-whitewash-for-unp-and-janabalawegaya-and-demise-and-disaster-for-communal-parties-in-this-country","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/2020\/08\/07\/final-prediction-on-election-2020-landslide-victory-for-the-slpp-and-whitewash-for-unp-and-janabalawegaya-and-demise-and-disaster-for-communal-parties-in-this-country\/","title":{"rendered":"Final Prediction on election 2020. Landslide victory for the SLPP and whitewash for UNP and Janabalawegaya and demise and disaster for Communal parties in this country"},"content":{"rendered":"

Dr. Sudath Gunasekara \u00a0Mahanuwara<\/em><\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n

The final results of this election\nwill be stunning for everybody. My forecast of final results will roughly  be  as\nfollows<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

1The\nSLPP will get around 175 out of 225 seats in the next Parliament (Eg 150-55\nelected and 15 -20 national list)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 2 The divided and disarrayed UNP (R+P camps\ntogether) will settle down around 35 the most (elected + national list) I think\nSajit Camp will get few seats more than Ranil as majority of ex UNP MPP and  grass root levelare with him. TNA might get\nless than elected and 1 National list member considering the prevailing\ndisunity within The TNA and other Tamil parties in the North and East.  The leader of the opposition will go to\neither Sajit or Ranil depending on who gets the support of the Tamil Mpp.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 3 Under this scenario it is likely that the\nranking of the main contenders will be as follows <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

!\nSLPP 170-175 both elected and National list thus consolidating the 2\/3 in\nPArliament<\/p>\n\n\n\n

2\nSajit+Ranil 35 -40 (Both elected and National list)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

3\nTNA  09+1<\/p>\n\n\n\n

4\nJVP will get eliminated from the political map of Sri Lanka. Most they might\nget 1 from the National list<\/p>\n\n\n\n

5\nOthers not belonging to 1 to 3 such as Ape Janabala Vegaya that might emerge as\na force to reckon with in Parliament.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

(These\nfigures might slightly vary due to the fact there is always a margin of   error in statistical calculations. But I\nmaintain the overall picture want be much different)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

6\nAfter 196 are elected out of 7452 7256 will go home.  Of them at least 7000 will lose their\ndeposits. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

7\nOverall poling will be less than at the Presidential elections <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Drop\nin the voter turnout for 4 reasons. The main reason is the drop in the UNP vote\ndue to the ugly clash between the R &S camps. The other reasons are\ninternal conflicts between Maitri and Pohottuwa camps, fall in the votes of\nthose who came from foreign countries last time and as there is a possibility\nthat some voters who voted Gota last time may not do so this time due to\npersonal reasons<\/p>\n\n\n\n

8\nThere is another surprising thing this time is that SLPP will win all Sinhala\nmajority districts including Colombo, Nuwara Eliya and Badulla<\/p>\n\n\n\n

9\nThis election will also mark the last for Ranil as this election will mark his\nexit gate from politics along with the demise of the 74 year old UNP, the  trap set up by the British to destroy the\nSinhala nation and Buddhism in this country together with its glorious and\npristine civilization.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

10\nWith this election Sajit too will join the political destiny of Anura\nBandaranayaka as there is going to be a big battle for UNP leadership even if\nit tries to raise its head from the political grave <\/p>\n\n\n\n

11\nMajority of sitting members of all parties will get defeated. I forecast this\nto be 125-130  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

12\nThe UNP, and JVP will get completely routed to be never reborn again.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

13\nTamils and Muslims will be compelled to rethink about their divisive and\ncommunalahave to rethink about their aggressive and communal strategies after\nthis election which they already experienced in the last Presidential El\nstrategies and learn to live amicably or depart to their own mother countries.\nDefinitely they will have to either learn to live amicably with the na\u00efve\nSinhalese or depart as their bargaining clout of an eye to eye will be lost\nforever.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

14\nThere is a possibility of a new Tamil party gaining ground in the north as\nTamils are now fed up with TNA<\/p>\n\n\n\n

15\nThis overall change will lead for the emergence of a new political party and a culture\nand a national Sinhala Buddhist force based on Anagaraika Dharmapala, model\nmore aggressive and more forward looking than the SLLP, completely different\nfrom all political parties we had from 1948 in this country I foresee this to\nbe the Ape Jana Bala Wegaya Under Rev Galabda ate Gnanasara and RaTna Thera <\/p>\n\n\n\n

16\nThis election will also put an end to the Colombo centered political leadership\nand lay a permanent foundation   based on\nthe Villa Leadership centered around Sinha Buudhist majority along with the\nSinhala Catholic  marking the dawn of a\nnew political era in this country with a political system with a new political\nEconomic social and moral led by the President Gothabahaya Rajapaksa heavily\nbacked by Prime Minister Mahinda Rajapaksa and his team<\/p>\n\n\n\n

17\nRanil and  will go to political\nwilderness  and the same thing will\nhappen to Sajit as well as his succeeding Rajapaksa regime in future is utterly\nremote as the force that follow will definitely be a more Sinhalese Buddhist\noriented ;for eg Ape janabala Wegaya<\/p>\n\n\n\n

18\nThe power of the yellow robe will emerge once again and get established firmly\nas it had been during the days of the Sinhala Kings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

19\nWith the e defeat of R and S the traditional UNPer will look for a new\nleadership but it want succeed. Instead it might get together with the newly\nemerging Snhala Buddhist force sated above who will love the Sinhala nation the\nLand and the environment in full agreement with Buddhist teachings Replica of\nDharmasoka Kingdom<\/p>\n\n\n\n

20\nFinally this election will herald the beginning of a fully free and\nIndependent, vibrant and prosperous Sinhala Buddhist Kingdom  culminating once again as the miracle of\nAsia, a pride to the whole world, as it had been in the ancient and medieval\nworld.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 This in brief is the wish and the greatest expectation\nthe Sinhala Nation yearning for under the new Rajapaksa regime Governance they\nhave so painstakingly brought in to power.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Dr. Sudath Gunasekara \u00a0Mahanuwara The final results of this election will be stunning for everybody. My forecast of final results will roughly  be  as follows 1The SLPP will get around 175 out of 225 seats in the next Parliament (Eg 150-55 elected and 15 -20 national list)  2 The divided and disarrayed UNP (R+P camps […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":true,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[46],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-105332","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-dr-sudath-gunasekara"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/105332","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=105332"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/105332\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=105332"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=105332"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=105332"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}