{"id":41585,"date":"2015-02-16T17:35:02","date_gmt":"2015-02-16T23:35:02","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/?p=41585"},"modified":"2015-02-16T08:09:42","modified_gmt":"2015-02-16T15:09:42","slug":"post-mortem-post-electoral-analysis","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/2015\/02\/16\/post-mortem-post-electoral-analysis\/","title":{"rendered":"Post Mortem – Post Electoral Analysis"},"content":{"rendered":"

Prof. Hudson McLean<\/em><\/span><\/h2>\n

Whats going-on currently in Sri Lanka, headed by My3 Sirisena, a Puppet-on-a-String, voodoo-danced by the proverbial loser Ranil Wickremesingha (RW), is frighteningly disturbing.\u00a0 When I met his dad some years back, the late Esmond Wickremesinghe in his wood-paneled library (his wife was not allowed there, I was told), although he got the young man into potential leadership under JR, the old gentleman was not quite confident about his son’s “Race Horse” capabilities. And he was right.<\/p>\n

With all the right-blood, and money, RW failed many a time to be taken seriously by the populace.<\/p>\n

Politics is and has always been a dirty game! RW somehow managed to survive his 40-odd years in the game. In fact, Mahinda Rajapaksa (MR), it was said, that wanted RW to survive as the leader of UNP, simply to keep the “lame-duck” wobbling, as the “Court Jester”.<\/p>\n

My opinion is that, The Almighty, (does not matter what you call and worship Him as), did give RW a break, colluding with CBK to find a “Real Monkey’s Paw” (ie MS), to get MR out of the Hot Seat.<\/p>\n

There is an old saying that, “It Happens for the Best”!.<\/p>\n

Methinks, that the scenario has two effects-;<\/p>\n

1: To bring MR down-to-earth, for a while, to show that even a Great Maha Raja can be de-Throned or Thrown-out, by a simple democratic vote or like by force, as it happened to SWRD, Shah of Iran, Indira Ghandi, Saddam Hussein, Muammar Ghaddafi, Hosni Mubharak….. Give MR some quality time to think back. Both Basil and Namal got too big-headed, and needed down-sizing!<\/p>\n

2: To demonstrate to the Sri Lankans-at-large that the “New Angel” My3 delivered by RW-CBK, will most probably sell-out Sri Lanka to the Devil!<\/p>\n

RW got a job which he would never have accomplished on his own, without the help of CBK and the Tamils.\u00a0 The last time when Sarath Fonseka rode the high horse, he nearly came to grasping the jackpot, but Fonseka did not get the minority vote.<\/p>\n

With respect, I refer to the following excellent article:<\/p>\n

The Writing Is On The Wall: How Sri Lanka Is To Be Dismantled Posted on February 15th, 2015 Dayan Jayatilleka<\/span><\/p>\n

“Step One: As a definitive election analysis by experts proves,<\/p>\n

Mahinda Rajapaksa gets 58% of the vote of the Sinhalese who comprise 74% of the country\u2019s populace, and only 13% of the vote of the minorities, and loses.<\/p>\n

Maithripala Sirisena gets 41% of the vote of the Sinhalese and 85% of the vote of the minorities and wins. (\u2018Deconstructing the Sri Lanka Presidential Election 2015 through Data Analysis\u2019, Dr. Ranjiva Munasinghe and Ruwanthi de Silva, Daily FT, Friday Feb 13, 2015.”<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

***********<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Statistics:<\/p>\n

http:\/\/www.electionguide.org\/elections\/id\/2813\/<\/a><\/p>\n

Voter TurnOut –\u00a0 81%<\/p>\n

Cast Votes:12,264,377<\/p>\n

Valid Votes:12,123,452<\/p>\n

Invalid Votes:140,925<\/p>\n

Registered Voters:15,044,490<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Maithripala SIRISENA (MS)\u00a0 6,217,162<\/p>\n

Mahinda RAJAPAKSHA (MR)\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 5,768,090<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

*********<\/p>\n

My question:<\/p>\n

Assuming that MR voters were largely SLFP – United People’s Freedom Alliance (UPFA); and MS voters were National Democratic Front (NDF) comprising of some UPFA + UNP + non-Tamil Minorities + Tamil + Muslim.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Without the Minority per se + UNP support, MS would have probably lost his Deposit?<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

In this case Sarath Fonseka, War-Hero, a non-politician, performed much better than MS!!<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Last election:<\/strong><\/p>\n

The last election for the office of president in Sri Lanka was held on 26 January 2010.[ii] Turnout was 74.50 percent and 10,495,451 of 14,088,500 people casted ballots.[iii] Mahinda Percy RAJAPAKSA of the United People\u2019s Freedom Alliance won 57.88 percent or 6,015,934 votes, while his opponent, Sarath FONSEKA of the New Democratic Front, won 40.15 percent or 4,173,185 votes.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Appointment of Prime Minister – Ranil Wickremasinghe (RW) It is pretty obvious that MS is utterly grateful to RW for ceding his UNP to support MS, and that is why the grateful MS is subservient to RW.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

More so, when RW demanded the occupancy of Temple Trees, and made My3 “Simple Charlie” Sirisena to go-find-a-tree.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Not only President Sirisena looks upto \u00a0RW to maintain his own power, but now President Sirisens dons a “bullet-proof” waist-coat vest, to look like his Indian Master in New Delhi.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

This bad news for Sri Lanka.<\/p>\n

Historically, RW & CBK were not the great patriotic leaders. They hustled & bustled with USA-EU-India, simply to maintain Tamil terrorism-pot boiling, to continue occupying the Seats of Power.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

No Horses in the Stable<\/strong><\/p>\n

As things have started, it is pretty obvious that the Sri Lankan Government\u00a0 stables do not have a single thorough-bred Race Horse, but filled with a brood of donkeys.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

The Bottom Line.<\/strong><\/p>\n

During the forth-coming Parliamentary Election, there should be a clear possibility that MR representing SLFP with or without UPFA, should come clean as a potential Prime Minister.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

There are hints that MR might be prevented from entering as the SLFP representation for Prime Ministerial candidacy. Then there might be two options. Either the Defense Forces should play their role as the guardian of Sri Lanka, or the People of Sri Lanka should rise against Injustice, in a popular uprising. This might be the Spring of Serendib!<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

This would also give another opportunity for RW to demonstrate his colours as the representative of the UNP.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Not a long time to go for the Bottom Line!<\/p>\n

Express Your Opinion – Read What Others Say!<\/span><\/p>\n

The Independent Interactive Voice of Sri Lanka on the Internet.<\/span><\/p>\n

Please visit -:\u00a0 http:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Prof. Hudson McLean Whats going-on currently in Sri Lanka, headed by My3 Sirisena, a Puppet-on-a-String, voodoo-danced by the proverbial loser Ranil Wickremesingha (RW), is frighteningly disturbing.\u00a0 When I met his dad some years back, the late Esmond Wickremesinghe in his wood-paneled library (his wife was not allowed there, I was told), although he got the […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[22],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-41585","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-hudson-mclean"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41585","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=41585"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41585\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=41585"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=41585"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=41585"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}