{"id":41691,"date":"2015-02-21T09:19:30","date_gmt":"2015-02-21T15:19:30","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/?p=41691"},"modified":"2015-02-20T13:03:49","modified_gmt":"2015-02-20T20:03:49","slug":"the-birth-and-rise-of-the-nugegoda-man","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/2015\/02\/21\/the-birth-and-rise-of-the-nugegoda-man\/","title":{"rendered":"The birth and rise of the Nugegoda Man"},"content":{"rendered":"

H. L. D. Mahindapala<\/em><\/span><\/h2>\n

The message that came out \u2013 loud and clear \u2013 from the Nugegoda rally is unambiguous : <\/strong>a new political man has risen with a new consciousness to change the political landscape. He is also bent on changing the mistake he made in the last presidential election. Like the Balangoda Man, our prehistoric ancestor, the Nugegoda Man represents a type, a pathfinder. He can be counted as the new force of the nation. The Nugegoda Man represents the critical mass that will impact in the\u00a0 coming electoral contests. He is the future.<\/p>\n

Second, it means that Ranil Wickremesinghe\u2019s days as Prime Minister are numbered. Nugegoda represent a clear shift of power from CBK-Ranil-Sirisena bloc to that of Mahinda Rajapakse. What\u00a0 the My3\u201d did secretly, behind the back of Mahinda Rajapakse, the Nugegoda Man did it openly on February 18 :<\/strong> undercut the power of the CBK-Wickremesinghe-Sirisena combination. The Nugegoda wave is now unstoppable. Only three kinds of maneuvers can stop Mahinda Rajapakse: 1.the legal maneuvers of the blundering government\u00a0 to debar him from contesting can hold him back, temporarily though; 2. Sirisena-CBK-Nimal Siripala de Silva get together to do a cut-throat kuth-thu<\/em><\/strong> and 3. CIA-style operation to harm\u00a0 him physically.<\/p>\n

Third, the birth of the Nugegoda Man will have significant consequences. The Nugegoda Man represents the majority coming together in a formidable formation. Its force will be felt in the coming general election where the majority will have a decisive \u00a0impact in determining the composition of the next Parliament. .<\/p>\n

Fourth, \u00a0the CBK-Wickremesinghe-Sirisena combination has nothing new to give the electorate in the coming\u00a0 election. They have exhausted all their promises in the Presidential election and the electorate now knows that their promises had not contributed substantially to their existential condition. In fact, they are beginning to feel that the presence of the pro-West, pro-Indian My-3 Pala-naya\u201d poses an\u00a0 existential threat to their future.<\/p>\n

Fifth, the role of\u00a0 the minorities will not have an over-determining impact in the parliamentary election as they did in the\u00a0 presidential election. Electoral demographics do not add up like the way it did in the presidential election. In\u00a0 parliamentary elections the Nugegoda Man will play a dominant role reducing the minorities to the margins.<\/p>\n

Sixth, the spontaneous flow of the people to Nugegoda confirms that Mahinda Rajapakse has had only a brief set back. It represents a resurgence that I have never seen before in electoral politics \u2013 and I\u2019ve been\u00a0 in the thick of politics from\u00a0 the time I\u00a0 joined Lake House as a cub reporter in 1954. I\u2019ve seen leaders going up and down like dizzy riders in a rollercoaster. But no one in living memory has done the miracle of bouncing back within such a short span of time.<\/p>\n

The miracle is not in bouncing back but in the speed with which he had shot into a formidable position. As far as I can recollect no other defeated candidate ever rose to political heights of popularity, on a massive wave of grass root energy, within 40 days as Mahinda Rajapakse. This\u00a0 is only the beginning. It is possible to visualize this\u00a0 trend turning into a tsunami by the time the general election takes place in July.<\/p>\n

Leaders discarded at elections do come back but always after a considerable lapse of time when the incumbent government has tired the voters with incompetence, corruption and failures to deliver. No one has\u00a0 come up within days of being defeated. The show of strength at Nugegoda questions whether Rajapaksa was ever defeated. Technically, yes, in a psephological sense. But not as a political force. He is still out\u00a0 there, with enough clout, to whack the Ranil-led government for a six.<\/p>\n

Wickremesinghe has never been a match to him and never will be. Mahinda Rajapakse\u2019s charisma\/nationalist fervor is etched indelibly in the psyche of the nation. It is overpowering enough to overcome his short-comings. He has only to give the word and then a whole new political wave will burst out from the restrained shores to sweep the nation.<\/p>\n

Mark you, the Mahinda Rajapakse wave has risen at the height of a massive media and government\u00a0 propaganda campaign hitting him and his family with the kind of accusations that would have crushed any other lesser figure. The flood of\u00a0 masses that submerged Nugegoda indicate that the anti- Mahinda Rajapakse propaganda has flowed over\u00a0 the electorate like water on a duck\u2019s back. What is more, the resurgent Mahinda wave leapt to\u00a0 new heights without the backing of the SLFP. Though some dissident SLFPers broke rank and joined the Nugegoda rally the SLFP did not\u00a0 throw its full weight behind the pioneering Dinesh-Wimal-Vasu leadership.<\/p>\n

Dr. Dayan Jayatilleka heightened the drama of the day by pausing repeatedly to let the groundswells of thunderous applause subside as he read Mahinda Rajapakse\u2019s message. It was, indeed, in line with the\u00a0 best of political theatre. It is the only time I\u2019ve seen a great political drama of Shakespeare\u2019s Hamletian magnitude succeed without the Prince on the stage. In other words, the voters have dismissed the accusations against Mahinda Rajapakse as some irrelevant muck that has no bearing on their political judgment.<\/p>\n

The rise of the Nugegoda Man means that there are deeper and bigger issues than the details of personal lives of the Rajapakse family. Overnight the\u00a0 electoral dynamics have changed. It means that Mahinda Rajapakse is identified with the most deep-rooted forces that make or break leaders of the nation. This explains why it took a combination of 47 diverse parties to defeat him. If you throw in the Indian RAW, the American CIA and the Western NGOs it adds up 50.\u00a0 And even then he lost only a by a slender margin.<\/p>\n

These unfolding events took me back to the second election\u00a0 campaign in April 1960, after the fall of Dudley Senanayake\u2019s Short Parliament that lasted only for 33 days. He recommended dissolution and Sir. Oliver Goonetilleke, the Governor-General called for a new election. I was embedded with Dudley Senanayake as the Lake House correspondent to cover his entire election campaign. He set out for the first election campaign from Woodlands\u201d, Borella\u00a0 in January and formed a minority government. The second one was launched from the Mirigama\u00a0 residence of his close confidant and friend, Arthur Amaratunga.<\/p>\n

Before setting\u00a0 out on the first day of electioneering he was\u00a0 pacing up and down the front\u00a0 verandah of the house after breakfast. He was somewhat apprehensive and nervous. After what seemed like a long silence he turned to me and said:<\/strong> I can fight a living woman but not\u00a0 a dead man!\u201d With his experience\u00a0 of winning the election on the emotional wave of his\u00a0 father\u2019s death in the fifties he was referring to the similar emotional wave on which Mrs. Bandaranaike was riding high in the second election campaign. He was, however, banking on the report\u00a0 of the commission on corruption which had named leading SLFPers like C. A. S. Marikkar and\u00a0 Moonekulame among others. He hammered the\u00a0 theme of corruption exhaustively in his campaign but it didn\u2019t cut any ice. The mood of the nation was preoccupied with the magic of the Bandaranaike legacy. He lost in July and Mrs. Bandaranaike became the first women prime\u00a0 minister of the world.<\/p>\n

The parallel between\u00a0 1960 July election and the coming July election is obvious. Though there will be many parties in the fray it will be essentially a contest between Wickremesinghe and Mahinda Rajapakse in the south, if he decides to come forward, that is. \u00a0Oddly enough, both will be fighting on two different narratives of the legacy of Mahinda Rajapakse and the Nugegogda rally has already given the answer to the narrative that has won.<\/p>\n

The mood and the issues of the forthcoming election will be entirely different from that\u00a0 of the presidential election. \u00a0The new\u00a0 Rajapaksa vs. Wickremesinghe contest is going to be a whole\u00a0 new ball game with a whole new set of issues. Besides, by the time the voters go to the polls in July, the 100-day regime of Wickremesinghe would have lost its fizz. Already the fizz of the of the mini-budget has evaporated and the voters can\u2019t be baited by another package of goodies which they know now will not impact on their hip pocket nerve.<\/p>\n

Besides, there are no signs of the promised Yaha-pala-naya\u201d dawning at the end of 100-days. The goal of creating the ideal country\u201d (Manifesto) is receding every day. The failures of the 100-days will be a sitting\u00a0 duck for the Nugegoda Man to\u00a0 turn away from CBK-Wickremesinghe-Sirisena combination. Their bungling, incompetence, internal fratricide, corruption, nepotism and the anti-national polices to reverse history will, most\u00a0 likely, bring the votes back to Mahinda Rajapakse. The massive gathering at Nugegoda represents an exodus of\u00a0 Biblical\u00a0 proportions running away from the promised land of CBK-Wickremesinghe-Sirisena. .<\/p>\n

Furthermore, all the\u00a0 ha-ho about overthrowing the Mahinda legacy \u2013 from the Colombo Port City to other major\u00a0 infrastructure development programmes \u2013 has proved to be nothing\u00a0 but hot air. The ballyhoo about corruption charges \u2013 the main plank \u2013 is no longer a winning card for the CBK-Wickremesinghe-Sirisena camp. The ad-men behind the Presidential campaign focused, in a timely move, on the theme of CHANGE ( when-a-suck<\/em><\/strong> ). The change\u201d has come and gone without yielding the expected impact. The people are still living in\u00a0 essence in the Mahinda era with a few minor changes in the political ambience.<\/p>\n

Of course, it was possible, under the prevailing political conditions, to hold out promises of a new world on January 8, 2015. But that mood has changed rapidly. The My-3\u201d of CBK-Wickremesinghe-Sirisena now has to go before the voters to defend the record that\u00a0 promised a Yaha-pala-naya\u201d. Other than muck-raking nothing substantial has been achieved, nor are they likely to achieve in the remaining days to make a dramatic impact on the electorate.<\/p>\n

The\u201dMy-3\u201d tactic so far has been to demonize\u00a0 the Rajapakses. Has it created a sympathy wave for the Rajapakses? Was the Nugegoda wave to get back Rajapakse an act of public guilt? The failure of the Yaha-pala-naya\u201d to deliver its\u00a0 promises will be the biggest liability in the coming\u00a0 election. Besides, the Nugegoda Man has experienced the promised when-a-suck<\/em><\/strong> and he feels that he is still running on the highways and byways built by Mahinda Rajapakse.<\/p>\n

As for the promised new world nothing tangible has\u00a0 changed. It is the same old same old. The President has appointed his close relatives to key posts. Wickremesinghe has made similar appointment with his cronies. Even the holier-than-thou Wijedasa Rajapakse has appointed one of his kind to his ministry. A man facing charges of money laundering\u00a0(Rs. 300 million) is the Finance Minister. Sirisena who promised never to abuse his powers committed the worst offence by exercising arbitrarily Presidential powers that\u00a0 he didn\u2019t have to remove the Chief Justice. He did that knowing that he was breaking the law \u2013 the law which he upheld when he acted to remove the former Chief Justice, Shirani Bandaranayake..<\/p>\n

Worst of all, the\u00a0 Paskaralingams, and Mahendrans have returned, from\u00a0 their exile, to fiddle with the economy under Wickremesinghe\u2019s patronage. Why? Aren\u2019t there enough qualified Sri Lankans to manage the economy? As these exiles did the last time when Wickremesinghe was Prime Minister, they will fly out on the eve of the next election leaving\u00a0 the economy in a mess. On top of all this, the old LTTE brigade, led by Charles Gnankone, one of\u00a0 the brothers who ran the shipping lines for the LTTE, has returned to reverse the historical gains also with the blessings of their patron, Wickremesinghe. Is this\u00a0 Yaha-pala-naya\u201d or Yaka-gay-pala-naya\u201d, eh?<\/p>\n

Anyway, nothing that has happened so far has strengthened Wickremesinghe\u2019s political\u00a0 base. The prevailing political scenario is\u00a0 somewhat bizarre. The average man and the SLFPers are in quandary : they elected a SLFP President in a SLFP Parliament which \u00a0\u2013 hang \u00a0on! \u2013 has been\u00a0 hijacked by an unelected prime minister of the UNP who has no mandate\/majority to occupy the eighth seat in the front row of the government benches which is reserved for the president. This topsy-turvy situation is not only farcical but thrown the political equilibrium into a dysfunctional bullock\u00a0 cart.<\/p>\n

The administration Wickremesinghe\u00a0 runs is no better. For instance, in the critical area of education Wickremesinghe has appointed Kabir as Minster of Higher Education over the more competent and experienced academic, Prof. Rajiva Wijesingha. \u00a0Kabir is poking his fingers in an area about which he knows nothing. His only qualification seems to be his excellent ability to follow instructions given by Wickremesinghe. Result : Higher Education is running\u00a0 like a cart drawn by three-headed donkeys, all running\u00a0 in different directions.<\/p>\n

The corruption, favouritism, incompetence and\u00a0 the reign\u00a0 of mediocrities ruining\u00a0 tertiary education has been exposed by Alahan K. Alaharatna in The Colombo Telegraph<\/em> (February 17, 2015). It is a shocking expose of Jaffna University Vice-Chancellor, a fake with fraudulent credentials, running a lawless University with her favourites recruited not on merit but on personal loyalty.<\/p>\n

All signs indicate that Wickremesinghe is out\u00a0 of\u00a0 his\u00a0 depth. He wants to a run a one-man show, according to his own ministers. \u00a0Wickremesinghe\u2019s shenanigans have\u00a0 not won the hearts and minds of Nugegoda Man. This is not surprising, According to Prof. Rajiva Wijesingha the\u00a0 President has told him that he had handed over the making of appointments and the running\u00a0 of the administration to his two favourites :<\/strong> Chandrika Bandaranaike, an unelected political apparatchik who is behind the Sirisena throne and Ranil Wickremesinghe \u2013 two peas that failed to sprout in the same rotten pod. Their solutions to the problems\u00a0 they face so far have been to recall all the discards who had failed when they were president or prime minister earlier.<\/p>\n

With every passing\u00a0 day it looks as if the nation is veering away from its historical roots into an alien path which\u00a0 is bound to have a serious consequences. Wickremesinghe\u2019s obsession to micro-manage every detail in all the ministries is due partly his paranoia and partly his ambition\u00a0 to consolidate his position by keeping\u00a0 his rivals out of the prime ministerial chair. He thinks he\u00a0 has found an escape\u00a0 route\u00a0 to stay in power without a majority in the parliament. His\u00a0 formula is to turn the parliament\u00a0 into a national government. But he has been a failure because he could never manage his own \u00a0party. How is\u00a0 he going to manage all parties in parliament to agree with him on his hare-brained\u00a0 schemes?<\/p>\n

But, of course, there is a method in his madness. His idea of forming a national government is to secure\u00a0 his position as prime minister, He is aiming to be the\u00a0 prime minister without a mandate from\u00a0 the people. Since he has\u00a0 no viable formula to rise onhis own\u00a0 steam he has come up with his self-serving idea of hanging on to\u00a0 the premiership by preserving the status quo which he describes as national government\u201d. His national government\u00a0 is not intended to put any other elected leader with a legitimate majority in parliament as the prime minister. \u00a0His idea is to manipulate the President Sirisena and CBK and keep the SLFP contenders as far away as possible from his seat.<\/p>\n

SLFPers are shrewd enough to see through the sneaky ways of Wickremesinghe. Both Maithripala Sirisena and Mahinda Rajapakse are committed SLFPers capable of rising over their personal rivalries and sink their differences for the sake of\u00a0 the party. Their rivalry \u00a0will only ensure the victory of their traditional opponents. It\u2019s time that SLFPers heeded Mahinda Rajapakse\u2019s advice and agree to go along with known devil than the failed Wickremesinghe — the devil in angel\u2019s clothing.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

H. L. D. Mahindapala The message that came out \u2013 loud and clear \u2013 from the Nugegoda rally is unambiguous : a new political man has risen with a new consciousness to change the political landscape. He is also bent on changing the mistake he made in the last presidential election. Like the Balangoda Man, […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[18],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-41691","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-h-l-d-mahindapala"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41691","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=41691"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41691\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=41691"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=41691"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=41691"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}