{"id":99933,"date":"2020-03-14T15:26:55","date_gmt":"2020-03-14T22:26:55","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/?p=99933"},"modified":"2020-03-14T15:26:55","modified_gmt":"2020-03-14T22:26:55","slug":"how-many-will-die-of-coronavirus-in-the-uk-a-closer-look-at-the-numbers","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/2020\/03\/14\/how-many-will-die-of-coronavirus-in-the-uk-a-closer-look-at-the-numbers\/","title":{"rendered":"How many will die of coronavirus in the UK? A closer look at the numbers"},"content":{"rendered":"

Courtesy The Guardian (UK)<\/em><\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n

What the statistics from the outbreak so far can tell us about infection and mortality rates<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The startling spread of the coronavirus across the globe is causing understandable alarm. But though it is still too early to draw definitive conclusions about how many deaths may occur, the statistics do point to general trends that can get lost in the drama.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At present, one thing that does seem clear is that the vast majority of people who get the disease will survive.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The World Health<\/a> Organization (WHO) has estimated the mortality rate from Covid-19 is about 3.4%. That is higher than seasonal flu and is cause for concern \u2013 but even if it is correct, more than 96% of people who become infected with the coronavirus will recover.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Any death is, of course, devastating for the families involved. But it is also worth noting the WHO estimate is based on confirmed infections and deaths, meaning it does not take into account mild cases that may not be diagnosed \u2013 cases that would lower the mortality rate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Indeed experts say that, in reality, the mortality rate is likely to be nearer to 1% or less. In other words, more than 99% of those who become infected are expected to survive<\/p>\n\n\n\n

And not everyone will become infected. According to the chief medical officer for England, Prof Chris Whitty, the worst-case scenario is that about 80% of the UK population becomes infected. But that does not necessarily mean there will be 500,000 deaths \u2013 as would be expected from a 1% mortality rate. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/2020\/mar\/13\/how-many-will-die-of-coronavirus-in-the-uk-a-closer-look-at-the-numbers?CMP=share_btn_fb&fbclid=IwAR2OFHtrnaMIOyr3zFnTmBNvO6WZjjB6BH46d6MunbtCLM_1rbLkQzArnGg<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Courtesy The Guardian (UK) What the statistics from the outbreak so far can tell us about infection and mortality rates The startling spread of the coronavirus across the globe is causing understandable alarm. But though it is still too early to draw definitive conclusions about how many deaths may occur, the statistics do point to […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":true,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[122],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-99933","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-health"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/99933","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=99933"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/99933\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=99933"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=99933"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lankaweb.com\/news\/items\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=99933"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}