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31st October 2006

Whither the direction of the peace talks in Switzerland, to what objective and whence by way of reality will the Peace Talks between the Sri Lankan Government and the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam ever find resolution conducive to permanence and closure? ask many skeptics sick and tired of the never ending charade viewed negatively in retrospect by the more discerning and made manifest in the form of the near meaningless debate between the warring parties in Geneva last weekend as it has failed to reach consensus or any agreement on any issue relative to peace in Sri Lanka where even the tabling of another round of talks seems to have slipped the impervious minds of the key players of LTTE representation more intent on lamenting their losses on a world stage which should translate into LTTE losses rather than those of Tamils per se! This also goes without saying that a Governmental response to rescheduling further talks has also for some reason been sidelined!

That the talks have collapsed pitifully as predicted by many discerning political analysts is no latent myth but a painful reality which the analysts believe would inevitably lead to further confrontations between terrorists and the Sri Lankan Armed Forces and rank justification now appears to rest on a successful campaign to contain the terrorists as they are more than likely to attempt to further unleash their terror tactics behind their tactical smokescreens which of course should not be taken as impenetrable by the Government of Sri Lanka and her armed forces despite the need for an order within the nation which would point towards tranquility and calm as opposed to terror and unrest and some fait acompli for the Government should it manouver correctly through the turbulences created by the LTTE!.

Case in point however towards diluting this conclusion has just emerged as it is reported that fierce artillery exchanges have erupted between the Army and the LTTE on the northern Jaffna peninsula at Muhamalai and Nagarkovil. Even as the negotiators were heading for home. Almost in anticipation of the LTTE's next move, the Army Chief Maj. Gen.Sarath Fonseka has arrived in Jaffna to contemplate a course of actions necessary for whatever situation the LTTE may attempt to foment towards provoking the Armed Forces as their spokesperson Illyanthiran has hinted time and time again that they will not relent their objectives of a confrontational nature which leaves the Armed Forces few choices if they ever surfaced!

So what objectives have President Mahinda Rajapakse's delegation to Geneva reached by way of accomplishment beyond the usual rhetoric which sees no light at the end of the tunnel and the pragmatism thickens albeit not thick enough to protect Sri Lanka without lofty military objectives should the threats of the likes of Illyanthiran and the sotto voce monotones of Thamilselvam manifest into the all too familiar perspective of confrontation which can only see the enemy vanquished towards real closure which once again becomes a mere idealogy as opposed to reality based on possible ramifications to all concerned.

The worthlessness of this delegation to Geneva becomes more apparent as there seem to have been no worthwhile agenda set before them beyond the eloquently dispensed rhetoric of arriving at a lasting peace in Sri Lanka( so what else is new?") with no real preset conditions strong enough towards LTTE assent or acceptance( but then what is?) as that obviously was the foregone conclusion of the analysts who seemed to know more by way of LTTE predictability that the Sri Lankan Government was bound to come a cropper against the scheming of the LTTE that they never really wanted a negotiated peace within the framework of a unitary Sri Lanka which appears more evident given the mentality of the LTTE where the hand of the military will always be in danger of being forced into an offensive response as Hobson's choice as all the LTTE have attempted to do is to attract worldwide responses towards discrediting the Sri Lankan Armed Forces whose sworn right it is to defend Sovereign territory.

As things stand presently in the North and East from a military standpoint it is a paradox that the prospects for any peace even in some small measure seems dim as long as LTTE provocations continue and the Armed Forces called upon to defend Sovereign territory! All this while the LTTE pretend to be in quest of a viable and lasting peace in Sri Lanka so whom are they trying to kid but themselves and the long standing sufferings of the civilian population in these areas merely augment rather than diminish and continue in abject apathy?

It certainly becomes very plausible that should the LTTE revert back to their modus operandi of unleashing terror indiscriminatelty amongst the Sinhala populace, there have been many indications that the Security Forces are more than ready to take preventive action to quell any offensive and confront the LTTE until their terrorist capability is debilitated and crushed for the lack of an alternative despite sermons and the preaching of goodwill and merit to curb an advancing enemy in the form of proscribed terrorists through dialogue! who have absolutely no intention of coming clean and denouncing objectives, laying down weapons and showing faith towards a commitment to a realistic peace if their body language is to be interpreted correctly.

It also appears to be a situation where the Sri Lanka military might has been fortified and proven capable in a manner never seen before towards taking out the LTTE and said to send chills around the LTTE camps. To supplement these apprehension of the LTTE according to 'inside reports' the LTTE are well aware of their predicament towards their survival further handicapped and debilitated by the presence and dedications of the Karuna camp avowed never to rest until LTTE supemo Prabhakaran is brought down! " The forcefulness of this concept is however overshadowed by the civilian casualties which would inevitably result and the military option despite feasibilities needing to be scrutinized with intent towards an alternative if intimidation alone can now corall the LTTE at a time when there are reports of disunity within their camp said to be much beyond the Karuna breakaway perspective! An intimidation perhaps which will bring them to their senses and hence the bargaining table where terrorism would be intolerable! despite the speculative nature of this dogma!

Despite all the odds against them to relent and bow down to peer pressure there has been no agreement by way of positive response by the LTTE acceptable to the GOSL towards a meaningful agenda at the two-day Geneva talks where even Norway’s international development minister Eric Solheim by no means a peera!(who would have been better off not attending! given his track record in these matters!) has failed in his attempts to coerce both sides into a likely consensus which is now more than unlikely for the present! Even cautious warnings that if talks failed the Government would lose aid money and the LTTE would become even more isolated internationally have had little effect on LTTE emotions where the GOSL have had no choice but to toe the line of failed talks where governmental patience has been severly tested and continue to be so and many wonder if this is the ultimate tailspin by the LTTE from which they might never recover to which the Government of Sri Lanka needs to come up with an appropriate response.

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