LANDSLIDE VICTORY FORECAST FOR GOTABAYA – “MAHINDA SULANGA” SWING FOR 2/3rd MAJORITY ISLANDWIDE, A REPLICA OF 1956 REVOLUTION?
Posted on November 15th, 2019

Don Dissanayake

The 2019 Presidential Election is expected to generate 82% of valid  votes as an average. This trend is likely to eventuate in Vavuniya, Ratnapura, Kurunegala, Kilinochchi, Kegalle, Kalutara,Jaffna, Gampaha, Galle, Matara, Anuradhapura, Polonnaruwa, Monaragala, and Matara.  In some districts in the above list  valid votes in the band of 85-90% could not be ruled out.

The JVP is expected to achieve 4.2% of valid votes. Sajith Premadasa is likely to achieve 31.3%.

The Winner Gotabaya Rajapakse is likely to achieve a record 64.5%, marginally short of a 2/3rd  majority.  The collection and survey was concluded 3  days ago,  positive movements may even  produce 2/3rd majority for Mr Gotabaya Rajapakse.  He is also expected to achieve the highest majority  in the history well in excess of 2 million votes.  The margin of error  is 3%+/-.

Survey shows the Gota campaign was further accelerated during last 2 weeks with the strategic introduction of Mahinda Sulanga”, aimed at forming a Government with Mahinda Rajapakse as PM.

The average (mean) is showing favourable trends towards a High Standard Deviation.

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