– Kumar Moses

We have pointed out previously why Sri Lanka faces the same fate of Sudan. Our proposed solution sent shockwaves down the spine of Tamil Elamists.

http://www.sangam.org/2011/08/EthnicNature_Changed.php?uid=4441

That alone proves its effectiveness.

Now the threat is even worse. Transnational Government of Tamil Elam was invited to South Sudan independence and they have drawn inspiration from it. Now they demand a similar referendum (as held only in the southern part of Sudan) in the northern and eastern part of Sri Lanka. UNHRC, India, Norway and USA have already imposed various devolution models that achieve just that in the long run. What will happen is, this referendum or other means of the ƒÆ’‚¢ƒ¢-¡‚¬ƒ…-Sudan solutionƒÆ’‚¢ƒ¢-¡‚¬ƒ”š‚ will be imposed on Lanka by this group while Sri Lankans will blame the diplomats, politicians past and present and each other for it. This is what happens always in Sri Lanka instead of taking hard decisions. Effective action must be taken now to avoid it.

2012 is an election year in USA and 2013 is an election year in India. Both incidents boost manipulation power of Tamils.

Former Tamil Nadu Chief Minister has renewed the call for India to create Tamil Elam in Sri Lanka. This time he has compared South Sudan, East Timor and Montenegro to ƒÆ’‚¢ƒ¢-¡‚¬ƒ…-Tamil ElamƒÆ’‚¢ƒ¢-¡‚¬ƒ”š‚. India may resist for a while but eventually it will give in to Tamil Nadu demands as it did in Geneva. Relying on India to save Sri Lanka from Tamil Elam is downright foolish. Time is fast running out.

Arguments why the Sudanese fate will not befall Sri Lanka are weak

The main argument why a Sudan will not happen in Sri Lanka is that the religious division in Sudan is not present in Lanka. Obviously the Christian-Islam division is not there in Sri Lanka. Africa is divided between Christian south and Islamic north. Sudan, AfricaƒÆ’‚¢ƒ¢-¡‚¬ƒ¢-¾‚¢s largest nation before the division, had this line of demarcation running right through it. The argument goes, Christian West helped South Sudan which is a Christian majority area, achieve independence from Islamic majority North Sudan.

The Christian argument is partly valid in Sri Lanka. Bishops Rayappu Joseph and Thomas Sundaralingam openly support the Western agenda of splitting the North-East Sri Lanka from the rest. Rest of the church administration (not the Christian population) subtly supports it. Their cover is ƒÆ’‚¢ƒ¢-¡‚¬ƒ…-implementation of LLRC recommendationsƒÆ’‚¢ƒ¢-¡‚¬ƒ”š‚. If LLRC can make such far reaching decisions, why do we need elections?

Nevertheless this argument doesnƒÆ’‚¢ƒ¢-¡‚¬ƒ¢-¾‚¢t help explain why the West helped Islamic Bosnia separate from Christian Serbia or why Islamic Kosovo was helped by the West to divide Christian Serbia.

There is more to it than faith.

In Africa, geopolitical interests run along religious lines to some extent. However, there are more important currents at work. Oil, political allegiances of ƒÆ’‚¢ƒ¢-¡‚¬ƒ…-rebelsƒÆ’‚¢ƒ¢-¡‚¬ƒ”š‚ is one major factor. That is why the West helps Islamic fundamentalists including Al Qaeda and Islamic Brotherhood in the Middle East and North Africa topple their governments. The geopolitical division that cut across Sudan cuts through Sri Lanka as well!

As it is now, Tamil politicians from northern and Eastern Sri Lanka are geopolitically aligned with USA through Hilary Clinton and Robert Blake. This is exactly how it happened in South Sudan. China was supportive of North Sudan area and the North Sudan majority government of Sudan as in Sri Lanka. While China builds ports in the south of Sri Lanka, India builds ports in the north! Selective development of the north by India and USA is obvious. This is a classic geopolitical split running through the island.

Even if oil is taken into account this geopolitical split becomes visible. South Sudan has oil as North-East Sri Lanka (Mannar). South Sudan has many other valuable mineral resources as North-East Sri Lanka (Pulmodai to Eppawala in the East). Western nations got a pro-western dependent vassal state created in South Sudan and using them to plunder the oil resources there. India and USA follow not a similar but the same strategy in North-East Sri Lanka.

If India can get an Indian vassal state created in North-East Sri Lanka, it need not share Mannar oil blocks with China. India can have everything to it. If a Tamil Nadu vassal state is created in the North-East Sri Lanka, Tamil Nadu illegal fishermen will not be ƒÆ’‚¢ƒ¢-¡‚¬ƒ…-attackedƒÆ’‚¢ƒ¢-¡‚¬ƒ”š‚ as alleged. If India can get an Indian vassal state created in North-East Sri Lanka, there wonƒÆ’‚¢ƒ¢-¡‚¬ƒ¢-¾‚¢t be any opposition to or concern over its nuclear power plants in South India. Similarly with a US-Indian slave-state in North-East Sri Lanka, the safety of Sethusamudram Channel will be guaranteed from spying eyes. Militarily sensitive cargo can be deployed or transported through it with no protest from neighbors. That is why Egypt, Panama and Singapore are always US vassal states.

ArenƒÆ’‚¢ƒ¢-¡‚¬ƒ¢-¾‚¢t the stars perfectly aligned for another ƒÆ’‚¢ƒ¢-¡‚¬ƒ…-Sudanese solutionƒÆ’‚¢ƒ¢-¡‚¬ƒ”š‚?

Human rights distractionƒÆ’-¡ƒ”š‚ ƒÆ’-¡ƒ”š‚ ƒÆ’-¡ƒ”š‚ 

Before Sudan was split, there was a big hue and cry about the Darfur region in Sudan. War crimes allegations were brought against Sudanese leaders driving them to a state of panic. It was a red herring to drive attention away from the real plan. Once the Sudanese government was pressurized over war crimes and human rights issues in Darfur, it was forced to agree to the South Sudan referendum. But Darfur was immediately forgotten! Today economically ƒÆ’‚¢ƒ¢-¡‚¬ƒ…-uselessƒÆ’‚¢ƒ¢-¡‚¬ƒ”š‚ (to the West) Darfur remains part of North Sudan (alleged human rights abusers) while South Sudan has been granted Independence!

What a marvelous magicianƒÆ’‚¢ƒ¢-¡‚¬ƒ¢-¾‚¢s trick!

This is the same distraction trick the West and Tamil politicians together play in Sri Lanka. They distract attention with the now dead LTTE and extort their geopolitical needs through threats.

Knowing very well that most, if not all, private media institutions and NGOs are owned and run by pro-Western groups and political parties, UNHRC-US-EU wants ƒÆ’‚¢ƒ¢-¡‚¬ƒ…-media freedomƒÆ’‚¢ƒ¢-¡‚¬ƒ”š‚ to these entities to soften the ƒÆ’‚¢ƒ¢-¡‚¬ƒ…-southƒÆ’‚¢ƒ¢-¡‚¬ƒ”š‚ so that the north can be easily separated.

And the war stopped in Sudan according to the West after South Sudan gained Independence! Now it is an international dispute which will be looked after with relative ease by the UN. South Sudan has attacked and grabbed an oil field in a disputed area. It has also shot down a North Sudanese jet. That is very fast for South Sudan to have a strong military in just months after its independence! With US$ 300 million of annual ƒÆ’‚¢ƒ¢-¡‚¬ƒ…-defence budgetƒÆ’‚¢ƒ¢-¡‚¬ƒ”š‚, ƒÆ’‚¢ƒ¢-¡‚¬ƒ…-Tamil ElamƒÆ’‚¢ƒ¢-¡‚¬ƒ”š‚, in addition to all the other benefits, is a lucrative weapons market too. In this context UNHRC, USA and India want Sri Lanka to demilitarize the north. DoesnƒÆ’‚¢ƒ¢-¡‚¬ƒ¢-¾‚¢t it all add up?ƒÆ’-¡ƒ”š‚ ƒÆ’-¡ƒ”š‚ 

Shutting oneƒÆ’‚¢ƒ¢-¡‚¬ƒ¢-¾‚¢s eyes, ears and senses to these obvious ominous signs is the worst we can do. A similar approach was followed by a very influential and educated section of the people towards the CFA. They argued USA, India and NATO will not allow LTTE to harm Sri Lanka! They also argued that in the post 9/11 era it is suicidal for the LTTE to restart war. Little that they knew the geopolitical games played by all these actors in which LTTE was a vital part. By the time they came to realize it, things have gone out of control.

These facts must be accepted so that potent solutions can be found.

Why Tamils are not united with Sri Lanka against disintegration attempts?

At the heart of this is the division that is there in Sri Lanka. Tamils in the North-East have always supported separatism and racism. Only a very few multi ethic political parties ever won a few seats in Jaffna. ACTC, ITAK, TULF and TNA have done nothing good to Tamils but they always vote for these parties following the lead from their cousins in Tamil Nadu. Tamil Nadu is the only Indian state where racist parties (Dravida parties much like Tamil parties in North-East) win elections instead of multiethnic parties.

As such, racist politics is an inherent feature of Tamil majority areas in both Sri Lanka and India.

Putting forward conditions for unity is unacceptable.

Not having the faculty to understand this basic fact has put the nation in jeopardy. From 1948 to 1956 the UNP government did enormous work for the benefit of Tamils in the north and east but it was highly racist ITAK that won all the Tamil majority electorates in 1956. Similarly after plenty of good work from 1965 to 1970, UNP was neglected and ITAK and ACTC were voted by Tamils. The 1970-77 SLFP government immensely benefitted Tamil majority areas economically and politically but that resulted in a massive victory to hardline TULF. Once again the 1994-2000 SLFP government reinstated civilized existence to Jaffna after decades of IPKF-LTTE plunder only to be rejected by a hardcore TNA/TULF in 2001. UNP government of 2001-03 once again brought unprecedented prosperity to Tamils but TNA recorded the best ever victory. TNA victory was sharpest not in LTTE controlled Vanni but in government controlled Jaffna! In a way the 2004 election result came close to the 1977 Vadukodai manifesto led TULF election victory.ƒÆ’-¡ƒ”š‚ ƒÆ’-¡ƒ”š‚ 

Doing the same thing and expecting a different outcome is a symptom of insanity.

Since Tamil majority areas always inherently vote for Tamil/Dravida racist parties, what is the solution? Convert Tamil majority areas into Tamil minority areas. It is a long term strategy but it can be done. It was successfully done in the East. Today there is an excellent opportunity to do so in the north as more than half of the population in the north have either left the country or moved to Colombo.

We have written many times in these columns the need to change the ethnic composition of the north. New non-Tamil settlements by way of colonization schemes must be established in the north. Resettlement of displaced non-Tamils must happen at least now. In addition, many more new non-Tamil settlements must be created. The North Sudan-South Sudan distinction must be erased from the island. If it can be done, devolution can proceed without any problem.ƒÆ’-¡ƒ”š‚ ƒÆ’-¡ƒ”š‚ 

For the record, Nigeria is now drifting towards the ƒÆ’‚¢ƒ¢-¡‚¬ƒ…-Sudanese solutionƒÆ’‚¢ƒ¢-¡‚¬ƒ”š‚. Northern Nigeria has a Muslim majority with few oil fields whereas Southern Nigeria is Christian majority and almost the entirety of the Nigerian oil is here. Northern Nigeria follows Sharia Law whereas Southern Nigeria doesnƒÆ’‚¢ƒ¢-¡‚¬ƒ¢-¾‚¢t. It is not just about faith and oil, associated geopolitics matter most. Sudan could have integrated its ethnic groups and survived as one nation. Nigeria can do it, at least on paper, and avoid eternal bloodshed that comes with separation. Sri Lankans should learn this lesson from a safe distance and take preventive action before it is too late.