Dr Sudath Gunasekara Mahanuwara
What people of this country should do at the upcoming election to save the Sinhala Nation, the Buddha Sasana, and the country and to take it to new heights?
3.7.2020.
My prediction on the August 5th General Election
Landslide
victory for the SLPP and a white wash for the UNP and nemesis for all communal
political parties and Independent candidates
What the people
of this country should do at the upcoming election to ensure this reality
Before I present
my write up on the above topic I give here my prediction made on the last
Presidential Election on 14 Oct 2019 in an email I sent to Mr Gothabhaya
Rajapaksa.
Your victory as well as that of the country is a
foregone conclusion. I am repeating, you will be definitely starting with at
least 65 lakhs the minimum that is what the SLPP, UPF and SLFP got at the 2018
Local Government Elections. Looking at the present trend no one should be
surprised even if it exceeds 70 lahks.
(This is the
opening passage of an email sent to Gothabhaya on 14.Oct 2019)
The accuracy of
my prediction was proved to the letter
when he polled 6,924,255 votes and won that election and I take pride in that
forecast as I was the only man who said so. Even my teacher at the University,
an internationally acclaimed eminent scholar emeritus Professor Gerald Peiris
expressed his reservations on my conclusion. But I persistently maintained my
conviction and finally it was proved correct.
Similarly I am
making this prediction this time too on the upcoming General election after
making an in-depth study of the political situation on ground by listening to
people in the work place, paddy field and on the street. Changes bound to occur
in the behavior of the electorate between now and the 5th of August also has
been taken in to consideration in arriving at this conclusion. The rousing
welcome received by the President at the SLPP’s inaugural election meeting held
at Anuradhapura today is good forecast of the prediction I am making in this note.
Dawn of a historic land mark in the political history
of this Island nation
I opine the next
General Election is going to be an important land mark in the political history
of this Island nation for the following reasons. It will also mark a turning
point in the post-Independence period of Sri Lanka.
The beginning of
this turning point will dawn with this political revolution that will emerge
with the election results on the 6th of August.
A political Revolution
1The SLPP will
get over 175 out of 225 seats in the next Parliament (Eg 155 elected and 20
national list)
2 The divided and disarrayed UNP (R+P camps
together) will settle around 35 (elected + national list)
3 TNA 12 elected
and 1 National list member
4 JVP will get
eliminated
5 Others not
belonging to 1 to 4=2
6 All
independent candidates will lose even their deposits.
The demise of
UNP at this selection will create a political vacuum. The need for such a new
national political party is called for as both traditional parties, the UNP and
the SLFP are no more there. That will
give rise to a chance for a new national Political Party that is more patriotic
and village based, to take over the country when one day the SLPP fails in its
duty by the Nation. The SLPP will govern the country under the present
patriotic regime at least for 15 years. That is Gota at least 10 and his
successor 5.
I predict this overall
result on the basis of two sets of mutually exclusive factors coming in to play
at this election, one negative and the other positive. The most significant
feature of this political revolution is that the interaction of both these
diametrically opposed factors will have negative effects on the UNP vote base as
a political party. Vituperative and mudslinging at each other, devoid of any substance or constructive political dialogue by these
two Camps (R&S) spearheaded by corrupt, baseless, verbose and vicious
political misfits like Sajit, Rajita, Champika, Vijitamuni Zoysa and Kiriella and
extreme communalists like Hakim. Badurdeen on one side and Bank robbers,
traitors like Ranil, Mangala, Ravi, Range Bandara and jokers like Ranjan
Ramanayaka and Mervin Mervin Silva will meteorically enhance the chances of the
SLPP to unexpected levels, recording a landslide victory never expected by any,
including even those in the SLPP and the President’s Office.
First let us look at the negative factors
1This election
is held after a period of 5 years of complete anarchy and political and economic
mismanagement in this country under Sirisena–Ranil- Karu three headed Government.
Going by the present situation in the country, the political environment in the
country could be compared to a sinking and wrecking ship in mid seas caught by
a Tsunami, sans a captain to rescue and navigate it in the proper direction for
safety.
2 This election is
also held at a time when the country is beset with extremely serious crises in a
plethora of political, economic and social fields and the collapse of national
security and law and order never witnessed before in this country.
3 The country is
going through a serious economic depression after the nation’s Central Bank was
robbed by the then ruling UNP, manipulated by none other than the Prime
Minister of that so-called Government and subsequently the whole country paralyzed
by extremist Muslim terrorist attacks on the economic and religious nerve
centers of the country, now in complete disarray and reached its lowest growth level
in its 72 years of Independence. On the top of it is a time when the whole world is undergoing one of the most difficult
and unpredictable future due to the world wide Covid 19 pandemic that has almost
crippled the whole world and brought it virtually on its knees almost to a
non-returnable situation.
4 The country’s
economy is also undergoing one of the most difficult times ever in its history
more or less facing a national crisis level with no agricultural or industrial
production and nor exports, and where the main foreign exchange inflow channels
like foreign employment has almost got dried up and printed money has to be
pumped in billions to run the country.
5 Scanty
domestic FE reserves and worldwide economic depression and limitations and constraints
on imports due to global restriction on shipping and international trade mechanisms
has badly affected both exports and imports
6 Meanwhile
continued interference and competition by powerful countries to take control of
our strategic situation on the great E-W trade route in the Indian Ocean in
view of its importance in the context of emerging supremacy of the Indo-Pacific
zone in world politics and by various International organizations agencies and
countries like UK. Germany, Canada and Norway driven by LTTE Diaspora elements hostile
to this country that are trying to create disunity within the country for
example between the various ethnic and religious groups also have created many
a problem to this country.
The positive side
1 In spite of
this darker side, after 72 years of So-called Independence on the other hand, we
as a nation have got a patriotic and strong Sinhala Buddhist Statesman in
President Gothabhaya Rajapaksa as a man with a clear vision and a mission who has
a proven capacity to successfully face
all these challenges of this multifaceted
conundrum and take this country out of the Augean mess it has been put in to by
all politicians who are supposed to have ruled this country for the past 72
years since the so-called Independence.
None of them
knew the kind of fake Independence they got in 1948. As I see it none of them
knew that the kind of Independence given by the British was only a transfer of
continuation of the same British governance mechanism to a set of local kaluSuddhas to run the country as their
proxy. This is exactly what, we are doing even today. But the politicians call
it Independence. The true Bhumiputras of this country, that is Sinhala
Buddhists have elected Gothabhaya Rajapaksa as their new leader. They expects
new President to make this country a fully pledge Independent and sovereign
State after this election. This perhaps
is the priority number one the people of this country expect from him. This
long overdue political strategy forms the cornerstone of all the rest
as an as Independent sovereign and free country.
Is Diyasena Born at last?
Going by his
past record as the Secretary of the Ministry of Defense as to how he defeated
the LTTE and how he converted Colombo to be recognized as the best City in Asia
within four years after the war are enough testimonies for his ability and
leadership as a task master. His peerless success in these two fields almost
made him the Sinhala Buddhist benevolent leader overnight; the nation was desperately
looking for seven decades. That is why the whole nation almost unanimously got
him elected as the 8th President of this Island nation with 6,924,255
votes that gave him an unprecedented majority of 1,360,016 in spite numerous false
and vicious conspiracies and intrigues’ relentlessly deployed against him until
the last moment by anti-national ant-Sinhala forces both from within the
country and outside, the shores to prevent him from getting even nominations. All
such attempts were successfully foiled and finally truth prevailed, justice won
and he got elected as the 8th President of this country to the
overwhelming joy of Sinhala nation.
The way how he
has conducted in office as well as in personal life since he was sworn in front
of the Ruwanwelimahaseya and his short but dignified and patriotic speech from
the hallowed precincts of the Great Stupa reminded me ancient traditions of our
great Kings who swore in in front of the Mahasangha to rule the Lankan Kingdom
according to the Dasaraaja Dhamma. How he set about thereafter by ordering not
to exhibit his photo in Government offices, reducing his staff, and even
security and banning all state tamasa, reducing the Cabinet to 17 and his
simple dress and manners won the admiration and the hearts of the masses of
this country. How he managed the Covid 19 pandemic when even countries like USA
have miserably failed, has already made him the most outstanding national
leader the post Independent Sri Lanka has produced. The majority in the country
are unanimous on this consensus. For them he is already a national idol and a
hero as well. For the poor and those deprived of their daily bread due to the
Covid 19 disaster, the food basket and the 5000 payment given was manna from
heaven in their difficult times. As for
me I see in him the legendary Diyasena, eulogized in Perakumbasirita by Sri
Thotagamuve Rahula Thera is born at last to rescue this thrice blessed Punyabhuumi,
by Lord Buddha.
Patriotic and honest Sinhala Buddhist task master cum – true Statesman
All these actions
on his part have convinced the masses that at last after 72 years of so-called
Independence they have got a Patriotic and honest Sinhala Buddhist task master cum
– true Statesman of proven ability and unblemished character beyond any doubt
in Gothabahay Rajapaksa, as the Head of State.
2 At the same
time there is an unprecedented emerging unity among the Sinhala nation from
west to East and North to South and from the sea to the top of Samangira
encompassing the whole country sans all their differences like caste, creed and
religion as one nation.
3 A towering
sense of belonging together is also emerging among the masses throughout the
country as one nation getting polarizes around the exemplary leadership of Gothabha
and Mahinda inspired by the support of the Maha Sangha right round the country in
unison and Catholic clergy headed by His Eminence Cardinal Malcom Ranjit
4 The splitting
of the UNP (a dead party in any case) in to two parts under two Kalusuddhas, Ruinil as someone has named
him and Sajit a round peg in a square hole, both of whom have no leadership
qualities and don’t feel the pulses of the masses as both of them being direct
products of the Colombian society, do not know what Sri Lanka is. Both of the
think Colombo is Sri Lanka. They are for personal gain and glory rather than
the concern for the common people. This Colombian leadership of right Royal
College products has left the grass root UNPers disgusted, dismayed, frustrated
and high and dry. Majority of UNPers have already realized that hanging on to out
dated UNP will not take them anywhere under the prevailing situation.
In sum all of
them know pretty well that there is virtually no UNP as an alternative
Political party that can come to power in the foreseeable future. It is already
dead and buried under six feet or more, thanks to Ruinil and Sajit Premadasa.
No one will hear about the UNP after 5th of August.
5 The patriotic younger
generation looking for change and new hopes getting attracted by this new
leadership qualities displayed by Gota have already got rallied round him
6 Nationwide
hope and the dream for political stability under a joint partnership between
the proven and able leadership qualities of the Rajapaksa brothers specially
the charismatic MR and proactive and dynamic Gota the task master who does not
tolerate humbug and who has aptly proved his capacity in his war against the
savages LTTE, as the Defense Sec of the country and as the President of the
country from the day he was elected as
the President have made the people confident that at last they have got
the leadership they were looking for decades who can rescue this country out of
the political, economic and Social mess in to which successive Government have
dumped it.
7 The newly
emerging wave of unprecedented Sinhala Buddhist nationalism and the sense of
patriotism gathering momentum around
this new leadership supported by the three Forces, Professionals, Civil Servants
and the Six National Forces sanga, veda, guru, Govi-kamkaru and Ranaviru and
the youth votes around the country brimming with new hope like a multi barrel
war machine rolling across the battle field is taking the lead for nation building under the new President.
At the same time we see all round auspicious
sings like anti-national elements getting caught and exposed daily clearing the
way for the nation to march forward without any obstacles. In this most
encouraging and welcome backdrop, the Pohottuwa will emerge victorious in a
landslide victory unheard and unseen in the political history of post
Independent Sri Lanka.
My prediction on the 2019 Presidential Election
I predicted Gotha
will get 69-70 lakhs at the last Presidential poll and Gota polled 6,924,255. Based
on the same argument at this election the SLPP should get it increased to at
least 80 lakhs of votes taking in to account the ground reality factors like the
defections from the UNP, JVP, Tamil and Muslim votes and new youth segment.
Even the minorities who are fed up with their own communal minded extremist politicians
who have ruined them over the decades without doing any service to their people,
are seriously looking for a complete
change in Sri Lanka politics. Therefore the SLPP should bag at least 155 out of
196 elected seats and it will therefor, should bag at least 20 national list pin slots as well, making the total to
stand around 175. The UNP disarrayed factions together are very unlikely to get
even 25 lakhs this time as against the 5,564,239 Premadasa polled at the
Presidential election .Premadasa will get 2,500,000 less than what he got at the
Presidential election. This is the Tamil and Muslim component which Premadasa
will not get this time.
1 A substantial
number out of UNP voters will also vote with the Pohottuwa this time as they are
convinced that there is no point in betting a losing horse. Majority of disgusted
UNP hard liners will boycott elections and that will also drastically reduce
the UNP votes. The JVP as usual will get eliminated at this election for their
sins they have committed to this nation and they are also very unlikely to get
any national list slots either. The chances of UNP getting Thodamans votes is
also not there at this election as Mahinda has played his cards well, the SLPP will
get a majority of Estate Tamil votes. With Digambarans help Premadasa might get
at least one seat more than Ranils faction on the overall.
On the other hand even if those brainless
Sinhala Budhhist UNPers who are suffering from chronic and incurable UNP
constipation syndrome fail to realize the gravity and the seriousness of the
crime they are going to commit against the Sinhala nation and the Sinhala
Buddhist civilization in this country by voting an anti-Sinhala, anti- Buddhist
and anti-national force, that is UNP, now fast disintegrating and disappearing
as a political force in no time from the surface of this land, no man or god
can stop the victory of the Sinhala
Buddhist forces led by Rajapaksas. There is a likelihood of all Sinhala forces drifting
towards this historic goal.
Under these
circumstances no one can stop the MR Camp getting at least 175 seats in the 2020
Parliament and it will go down in history as the biggest electoral victory ever
in the post Independent Sri Lanka by any political Party. As for me, I am fully
confident that this miracle will happen on the 5th of August, the results of
which will be obvious by the 6th evening.
My appeal to the Sinhala Buddhist nations
The whole nation
should rise in unison as a mighty force like the Phoenix from ashes under the
new patriotic and vibrant leadership of President Rajapaksa taking the above
situation as a stimulant and a blessing in disguise for us to march forward as
one united and determined nation. I do not think you will get a better chance
than this to get your aspirations realized again. If you neglect your duty by
the nation and the country at this time I can vouch you, you might never get
such an opportunity at any time in future.
Once we do our
duty I am confident Gothabhaya and Mahinda will lay the firm foundation to
rescue this country and the Sinhala Nation from all misdeeds and omissions committed
by all the previous Governments since 1948 at least.
What all of us, the patriotic people of this country
have to do at this election
All the patriotic people of this country have
to give the President a strong and stable Government by voting en-block to the
SLPP at the forthcoming election to enable them to have a strong government exceeding 2/3
majority under MR in Parliament to enable it carry out the Presidents avowed
mission by the nation and our motherland. That I think is the best lesson
patriotic people of this country can teach cynics like Rajan Philip and other
lunatiks like Rajeewa Jayaweera (see Island 27th 2020 At the centre of it will
be Rajapaksa v. Rajapaksa, sounding like Kramer v. Kramer of by Rajan Philip) who
are trying to drive a wedge between Mahinda and Gota to deprive this nation of
this unprecedented golden opportunity of rescuing the Sinhala nation and the
motherland from the Augean mess in to which it has been put in to by all those
who were supposed to have ruled this country since 1948.
