KAMALIKA PIERIS
On account of its strategic location, Sri Lanka is a key battleground
of geopolitical rivalry, said Asoka Bandarage. Sri Lanka is now in the
crosshairs of dangerous power games among the big powers, said Lasanda
Kurukulasuriya.
Sri Lanka
must pursue an independent foreign policy, said Palitha Kohona. It must protect
the territorial integrity, sovereignty, independence and economic advancement
of Sri Lanka. We must maintain good relationships with USA, China and India,
but that should not mean we should sacrifice our independence, Kohona said. We
need an effective foreign policy, which ensures our security, safeguards our
territorial integrity and sovereignty, said Sudarshan Seneviratne.
Pohottu has
announced its foreign policy. As a sovereign, free, independent nation, Sri
Lanka’s foreign policy will remain neutral and non-aligned, declared Pohottu. Sri Lanka
will maintain
friendly relations with all countries. Sri Lanka‘s relations with one country will
be absolutely independent of ties with another country. Also, Sri
Lanka will not give total control of a national strategic asset, port,
airport or anything, to a foreign country, concluded Pohottu.
President Gotabaya
Rajapaksa’s declaration to conduct foreign policy without compromising the
country’s independence and sovereignty is praiseworthy. Though a small nation,
in saying so, he has upheld Sri Lanka’s dignity, said critics.
But this will
not be easy. US is wooing Sri Lanka and asking Sri Lanka to join US in the next
war. The alarmed intelligentsia have now started to look for ways of getting
out of the awful possibility of getting entangled in a US-China war started by
USA.
The best solution for getting out of this dilemma would be to
return to Non-Alignment, they said. National
Joint Committee of Sinhala Organizations said,
‘We believe that Sri Lanka should follow a foreign policy of
Non-alignment.’ Sri
Lanka should follow a non aligned
position, said Palitha Kohona.
We should recover our earlier position in the NAM,as a pioneer of the Non-Aligned
Movement. Some senior NAM diplomats
still have sympathetic feelings towards Sri Lanka, Kohona concluded. As a small
state without a large military, Sri Lanka should adhere to a strict non-aligned
foreign policy in its relations with great powers, said Ganeshan Wignaraja.
That may not
be possible, said critics. With the signing of ACSA, we are no longer
non-aligned, announced Tamara Kunanayagam. A military alliance already exists between
the US and Sri Lanka. The ACSA
Agreement, signed by the Yahapalana government is still in force. Pohottu has not
made any changes to it, said Tissa Vitarana.
By signing
ACSA in 2007, and renewing it in 2017, Sri Lanka has committed its strategic
entry points, ports and airports, as well as our armed forces, our military
installations, food, oil, and spare parts, to the US for its war against China,
said Tamara Kunanayagam.
The ACSA
agreement also provides for the training of Sri Lankan troops by the USA and
their use when necessary. Thus, without actually setting up a USA military base
in Sri Lanka, those needs can be fulfilled through the ACSA agreement, said
Tissa Vitarana.
ACSA allows
the USA to make use of any airport or harbor in Sri Lanka. Thus, the USA can
continue to make use of Katunayake for its big transport planes to bring its
heavy armaments and take them across to Trincomalee to be loaded on to their
aircraft carriers for use in the whole Indo-Pacific region, continued Vitarana.
After ACSA
Sri Lanka will be asked to help in implementing the Indo-Pacific policy of USA.
Sri Lanka will have to work with India, Australia, Japan and the USA. The link
between India and Sri Lanka will be strengthened and the needs of the USA will
be achieved through this route, concluded Vitarana. It is now known that Indian
Prime Minister Modi has asked Sri Lanka to join the Quad.
The joint
military exercises of Sri Lanka with India and the USA are going on. There are regular
defence dialogues, Navy exercises and training in India for the Sri Lankan
Armed Forces. India, the Maldives and Sri Lanka have agreed to establish a
Regional Maritime Security Secretariat (RMSS) in Colombo, staffed by the Sri
Lankan Ministry of Defence personnel, to coordinate all aspects of maritime
security between the three countries. If
this is encouraged, we will become a part of the Indo-Pacific Alliance which is
mainly focused against China.
The
terminology use by Pohottu has come in for criticism. Pohottu also says its foreign
policy will be determined by India First”.
Since India has militarily aligned with the US, what does ‘India first’
mean asked critics.
During the
recent visit of the US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, Pohottu is stated to
have reiterated its commitment to a free and open Indo-Pacific”. Now
that’s one heavily coded expression for war against China, said Tamara.
Further, Sri
Lanka’s commitment to America’s Indo-Pacific” strategy is a violation of the
United Nations Charter and of the principles of the Non-Aligned Movement. It is
a commitment to war, not a commitment to peace, Tamara added. In fact,
there is no such thing as an ‘Indo-Pacific’, Tamara concluded.
Sri Lanka wants
to maintain its neutrality and does not wish to be caught up in the major power
games, said Jayanath Colombage. Analysts are doubtful. What does ‘neutrality’ in
foreign policy actually mean, they asked. Staying neutral can mean tacit approval, said
Tissa Vitarana. ‘Neutrality’ and
‘non alignment’ do not go together either, said Tamara Kunanayagam.
Pohottu has
found another escape route. Sri Lanka wants to revert to UN Declaration on the
Indian Ocean as a Zone of Peace. President Rajapaksa wants to see Indian Ocean
a Zone of peace. As far as Sri Lanka is concerned, Indo-Pacific” is too
big for us, even the Indian Ocean is too big for us since we are a small
country, said Jayanath Colombage.
The Sri Lankan government should ensure that
the UN Declaration on the Indian Ocean as a Zone of Peacebe implemented immediately. This is a declaration which Sri Lanka
itself initiated, said Tissa Vitarana on
behalf of LSSP.
However, there
are no Indian Ocean organizations based in Colombo, though Colombo is the
centre of the Indian Ocean. The Secretariats of Indian Ocean Rim association
(IORA) and the Indian Ocean Commission (IOC) are located in Port Louis, the
capital of Mauritius. India
established the Information Fusion Centre for the Indian Ocean (IFC-IOR) making
the Sri Lanka Maritime Rescue Co-coordinating Centre (MRCC) insignificant, taking
away any Indian Ocean role for Sri Lanka.
Sri Lanka is now wooed by three countries, US, India and
China.
Colombo has witnessed
heightened engagement from Beijing, New Delhi and Washington over the past few
months.
Yang Jiechi , Chinese
former Foreign Minister and current Politburo member visited in
October 2020. Mike Pompeo , US Foreign Minister, visited in November. Then came
Ajith Doval, India’s National Security
Advisor. Indian
Foreign Minister, Dr. S. Jaishankar visited
in January 2021.
Other countries
area also interested. Pakistan’s Prime Minister Imran Khan is expected to lead a
high-level delegation to Sri Lanka In February 2021. There were also visits
from the Foreign Ministers of Russia, Japan and Pakistan.
This series of high-level visits to Sri Lanka, especially
those of US, China and India, would
indicate, even to a layman, the existence of real and competing interests of
these nations in Sri Lanka. It will require great determination to ensure that
we are not drawn into a position of conflict with China, said Tissa Vitarana.
One solution, at least on paper, is to turn to other countries, avoiding US. We believe in multiple alignments instead
of a singular alignment with a particular country said Colombage. Sri
Lanka should establish good relations
with countries other than the USA, said
the intelligentsia. I think that the government should now seek new allies said Chandraprema in his
column ‘Political Watch ‘
There are other countries to turn to, we are not without friends said K Godage. We have other friends, he
said. We have close relations
with Iran and Russia in addition to China. China, Iran and even Libya would give us aid
without humiliating conditions. Iran has been
helpful, not only with military supplies but also with interest free loans.
Iran also supplied us with our crude oil requirements, continued Godage.
During the Eelam war some
countries not only rejected Sri Lanka’s request for arms but also prevented
aircraft carrying urgently needed item from flying over their airspace. Western
bloc countries, particularly UK US France, Germany threatened to reduce their
aid. But Sri Lanka did not yield to their demands. Instead Sri Lanka persuaded
other countries to provide it with military assistance. Russia, Poland, China,
Israel, Pakistan, Japan, India and Czech Republic helped.
Russia, Pakistan and China gave military assistance. Pakistan gave
arms. And sent its military officials to advise on counter insurgency tactics. Russia
provided military hardware, as well as much required training. When US stopped selling Bushmaster guns to Sri
Lanka, we were able to get our guns from Russia. Poland agreed to allow its
port to be used to ship the material.
The support of China and Russia means support at the UN. China and
Russia have seats in the UN Security Council and they both have power of veto. If the US reduced its contribution
to the UN, then Russia and China would step in. China and Russia supported Sri
Lanka at UNHRC in Geneva. If not for
China, Pakistan and Russia, Sri Lanka would have been isolated in Geneva during
the Rajapaksa administration, said Shamindra Ferdinando.
Moscow now
had the upper hand in Syria, Ukraine and Libya. Gwynne Dyer said it is
difficult to describe Russia’s current political style. It is certainly not a
democracy, although there are regular elections. It’s definitely not Communist,
although most of the regime’s senior figures were Communists before Russia
started on its capitalist path. It’s not a monarchy, although Putin behaves
like one. He has been in power for twenty years and is surrounded by a court of
extremely rich allies and cronies.
What is important for Sri Lanka is that Russia
is a rising power and it is prepared to stand by Sri Lanka. In December 2020, Russian
Ambassador declared Russia’s firm support to Sri Lanka at the upcoming UNHRC
sessions in Geneva in March 2021, and to defeat any motion filed at the forum
by interested parties and Tamil Diaspora lobbies. Russia was now a member of
the United Nations Human Rights Council. The Ambassador urged Sri Lanka to participate
in two International Security forums to be held in Russia in the summer of
2021.
The Russian Ambassador
said in December 2020 that the Sputnik V vaccine manufactured by the world
famous Gamaleya Research Institute in Moscow to counter the COVID-19 pandemic
is to be sent to Sri Lanka. A Memorandum of Understanding and Framework
Agreement have been signed between the two countries for its distribution.
There is also a plan to partner this vaccine with the Oxford
University/AstraZeneca COVID-19 vaccine to boost immunity further. (Continued)